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Premier League
Referee: S Barrott
Everton
S S U T T
1–1
Full-time
West Ham
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
40%
100%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,2
3,6
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,73 xG 1,19
52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Everton 12. · West Ham 19.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Liverpool 6 5 0 1 +5 +2.2 15
2 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 +9 +5.6 13
3 Crystal Palace 6 3 3 0 +5 +4.6 12
4 Tottenham 6 3 2 1 +7 -0.2 11
5 Sunderland 6 3 2 1 +3 -0.9 11
6 Bournemouth 6 3 2 1 +1 +1.8 11
7 Man City 6 3 1 2 +8 +4.6 10
8 Chelsea 6 2 2 2 +3 +2.2 8
9 Brighton 6 2 2 2 +0 +1.7 8
10 Fulham 6 2 2 2 -1 -1.6 8
11 Leeds 6 2 2 2 -3 -1.5 8
12 Everton 5 2 1 2 +1 -0.0 7
13 Brentford 6 2 1 3 -2 -1.0 7
14 Man United 6 2 1 3 -4 +2.9 7
15 Newcastle 6 1 3 2 -1 +0.6 6
16 Aston Villa 6 1 3 2 -2 -4.4 6
17 Nott'm Forest 6 1 2 3 -5 -2.9 5
18 Burnley 6 1 1 4 -7 -8.0 4
19 West Ham 5 1 0 4 -8 -2.8 3
20 Wolves 6 0 1 5 -9 -3.0 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Everton West Ham
1–0 M. Keane
J. Garner
18′
James Tarkowski 🟨
24′
33′
🟨 Kyle Walker-Peters
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Soungoutou Magassa
59′
🔁 F. Potts
↦ S. Magassa
64′
🟨 Max Kilman
65′
J. Bowen 1–1
T. Barry 🔁
↦ Beto
69′
77′
🔁 Luis Guilherme
↦ C. Summerville
T. Dibling 🔁
↦ I. Ndiaye
81′
82′
🟨 Konstantinos Mavropanos
Vitaliy Mykolenko 🟨
87′
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 🟨
90′
94′
🔁 Igor
↦ Lucas Paqueta
94′
🔁 A. Irving
↦ N. Fullkrug
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Everton

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford G
15 J. O'Brien D
6 J. Tarkowski D
5 M. Keane D
16 V. Mykolenko D
37 J. Garner M
27 I. Gueye M
10 I. Ndiaye M
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
18 J. Grealish M
9 Beto F
Bench (9)
12 M. Travers
2 N. Patterson
24 C. Alcaraz
20 T. Dibling
11 T. Barry
39 A. Aznou
23 S. Coleman
7 D. McNeil
42 T. Iroegbunam

Coach: Leighton Baines

West Ham

4-1-4-1
23 A. Areola G
2 K. Walker-Peters D
15 K. Mavropanos D
3 M. Kilman D
12 M. Diouf D
27 S. Magassa M
20 J. Bowen M
18 M. Fernandes M
10 Lucas Paqueta M
7 C. Summerville M
11 N. Fullkrug F
Bench (9)
1 M. Hermansen
5 Igor
50 C. Marshall
17 Luis Guilherme
9 C. Wilson
24 G. Rodriguez
39 A. Irving
32 F. Potts
30 O. Scarles

Coach: Nuno Espirito Santo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,72
U ✓
3,69
B
4,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Barrott · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.