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OBOS-ligaen
Moss
T T S U T
1–5
Full-time
Lillestrom
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
1,5
3,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 54%
30%
78%
Points per game
1,1
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
74%
70%
Both score Ø 57%
65%
48%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,6
Conceded
2,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 13. · Lillestrom 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 23 18 5 0 +45 59
2 Start 24 12 5 7 +14 41
3 Aalesund 21 10 8 3 +14 38
4 Lyn 23 11 5 7 +11 38
5 Kongsvinger 23 10 8 5 +9 38
6 Sogndal 24 10 6 8 +2 36
7 Egersund 22 9 6 7 +1 33
8 Ranheim 22 9 5 8 -5 32
9 hodd 23 8 6 9 -8 30
10 Asane 24 7 7 10 -9 28
11 Odd 23 7 6 10 -2 27
12 Raufoss 23 6 8 9 -4 26
13 Moss 23 7 5 11 -11 26
14 Stabaek 23 4 9 10 -9 21
15 Mjondalen 23 3 6 14 -28 15
16 Skeid 24 1 9 14 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. May -25 Lillestrom – Moss 3–0

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.