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Premier League
Referee: C Pawson
Nott'm Forest
U S T S U
0–3
Full-time
West Ham
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
4,5
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
1,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-3,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,73 xG 2,42
58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 7
14 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nott'm Forest 8. · West Ham 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Chelsea 3 2 1 0 +6 +4.3 7
2 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 +6 +2.5 6
3 Tottenham 3 2 0 1 +4 -0.5 6
4 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 +3 +0.2 6
5 Sunderland 3 2 0 1 +2 +0.3 6
6 Everton 3 2 0 1 +2 -1.3 6
7 Bournemouth 3 2 0 1 +0 +1.7 6
8 Nott'm Forest 2 1 1 0 +2 +0.2 4
9 Man United 3 1 1 1 +0 +2.5 4
10 Leeds 3 1 1 1 -4 -1.1 4
11 Man City 2 1 0 1 +2 +2.4 3
12 Burnley 3 1 0 2 -2 -3.6 3
13 Brentford 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.7 3
14 Crystal Palace 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.8 2
15 Newcastle 3 0 2 1 -1 +1.3 2
16 Fulham 3 0 2 1 -2 -1.9 2
17 Aston Villa 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.2 1
18 Brighton 2 0 1 1 -2 +1.5 1
19 Wolves 3 0 0 3 -6 -3.6 0
20 West Ham 2 0 0 2 -7 -2.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nott'm Forest West Ham
Half-time 0–0
J. McAtee 🔁
↦ D. Ndoye
58′
64′
🔁 C. Wilson
↦ N. Fullkrug
Igor Jesus 🔁
↦ C. Wood
73′
75′
🔁 A. Irving
↦ J. Ward-Prowse
82′
🔁 C. Summerville
↦ M. Fernandes
84′
J. Bowen 0–1
C. Summerville
88′
Lucas Paqueta 0–2
A. Kalimuendo 🔁
↦ I. Sangare
89′
O. Hutchinson 🔁
↦ C. Hudson-Odoi
89′
90′
C. Wilson 0–3
M. Diouf
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

4-2-3-1
26 M. Sels G
34 O. Aina D
31 N. Milenkovic D
5 Murillo D
3 N. Williams D
6 I. Sangare M
8 E. Anderson M
14 D. Ndoye M
10 M. Gibbs-White M
7 C. Hudson-Odoi M
11 C. Wood F
Bench (9)
18 A. Gunn
22 R. Yates
12 Douglas Luiz
19 Igor Jesus
24 J. McAtee
30 W. Boly
15 A. Kalimuendo
4 Morato
21 O. Hutchinson

Coach: Vitor Pereira

West Ham

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hermansen G
2 K. Walker-Peters D
15 K. Mavropanos D
3 M. Kilman D
12 M. Diouf D
28 T. Soucek M
8 J. Ward-Prowse M
20 J. Bowen M
10 Lucas Paqueta M
18 M. Fernandes M
11 N. Fullkrug F
Bench (9)
23 A. Areola
29 A. Wan-Bissaka
7 C. Summerville
9 C. Wilson
24 G. Rodriguez
39 A. Irving
25 J. Todibo
32 F. Potts
30 O. Scarles

Coach: Nuno Espirito Santo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,69
U
3,74
B ✓
5,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.