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Eredivisie
Referee: M Vos
Volendam
T T T U T
2–5
Full-time
Nijmegen
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Volendam Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
2,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 23/22 matches
Win Ø 25%
13%
36%
Points per game
0,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
70%
73%
Both score Ø 69%
65%
73%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
2,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

1,26 xG 2,64
32% Possession 68%
14 Shots 20
6 Shots on target 11
1 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Volendam 18. · Nijmegen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 23 21 2 0 +66 +52.6 65
2 Feyenoord 23 17 4 2 +41 +45.6 55
3 Twente 23 14 5 4 +23 +13.9 47
4 AZ Alkmaar 23 12 6 5 +22 +12.0 42
5 Ajax 23 10 6 7 +8 +8.0 36
6 Go Ahead Eagles 22 9 6 7 +5 -5.3 33
7 Nijmegen 22 8 8 6 +6 -9.1 32
8 Utrecht 23 8 8 7 -1 -7.0 32
9 Sparta Rotterdam 23 8 5 10 -4 -6.1 29
10 Heerenveen 23 8 4 11 -6 -3.2 28
11 Zwolle 23 7 6 10 -9 -9.7 27
12 For Sittard 23 7 6 10 -16 +0.0 27
13 Almere City 23 7 6 10 -17 -10.8 27
14 Heracles 23 6 4 13 -24 -19.0 22
15 Excelsior 23 4 9 10 -11 -9.7 21
16 Waalwijk 23 5 3 15 -20 -11.8 18
17 Vitesse 23 4 4 15 -29 -17.5 16
18 Volendam 23 3 4 16 -34 -22.9 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Volendam Nijmegen
Vivaldo ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
10′
11′
S. Hansen 0–1
31′
K. Sano 0–2
S. Hansen
41′
S. Sow 0–3
M. Hoedemakers
Half-time 1–3
1–3 Vivaldo Semedo
B. Ould-Chikh
49′
61′
🟨 Youri Baas
Q. Hoeve 🔁
↦ D. Mirani
62′
R. Mühren 🔁
↦ Vivaldo Semedo
67′
67′
🔁 K. Ogawa
↦ S. Sow
67′
🔁 T. Chery
↦ S. Hansen
73′
🔁 Róber
↦ K. Sano
73′
🔁 L. Olden Larsen
↦ Y. Borges Sanches
S. Karim 🔁
↦ R. Maulun
77′
D. Payne 🔁
↦ G. Cox
77′
D. Johnson 🔁
↦ B. Benamar
77′
78′
Róber 1–4
B. van Rooij
80′
🔁 B. Pereira
↦ L. Schöne
2–4 Z. Booth
B. Ould-Chikh
86′
Milan de Haan 🟨
89′
90′
L. Olden Larsen 2–5
91′
🟨 Rober González
Josh Flint 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Volendam

4-1-4-1
1 M. Backhaus G
3 B. Plat D
4 D. Mirani D
28 J. Flint D
5 G. Cox D
6 B. Benamar M
11 B. Ould-Chikh M
36 M. de Haan M
10 R. Maulun M
7 Z. Booth
9 Vivaldo Semedo F
Bench (12)
27 Q. Hoeve
21 R. Mühren
30 S. Karim
26 D. Payne
38 D. Johnson
24 A. Douiri
14 G. Kuol
50 A. Guessand
20 K. van Oevelen
46 M. van der Horst
48 B. van Driel
22 B. Lauwers

Coach: R. Simons

Nijmegen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Cillessen G
28 B. van Rooij D
3 P. Sandler D
24 C. Verdonk D
5 Y. Baas D
20 L. Schöne M
6 M. Hoedemakers M
10 S. Hansen M
23 K. Sano M
27 Y. Borges Sanches M
19 S. Sow F
Bench (9)
18 K. Ogawa
9 T. Chery
11 Róber
14 L. Olden Larsen
2 B. Pereira
21 D. Arts
22 R. Roefs
31 R. Janse
32 N. Rossen

Coach: R. Meijer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,20
U
4,33
B ✓
1,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,39
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Vos · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.