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Eredivisie
Referee: I Oostrom
Volendam
T U
1–4
Full-time
Nijmegen
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Volendam Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
100%
17%
Average goals
4,5
1,7
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
3,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Volendam 11. · Nijmegen 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Excelsior 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Feyenoord 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Twente 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Waalwijk 2 0 2 0 +0 2
8 Utrecht 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Heerenveen 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Groningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Volendam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Cambuur 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 FC Emmen 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 For Sittard 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Nijmegen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Vitesse 2 0 0 2 -5 0
18 Go Ahead Eagles 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Volendam Nijmegen
1–0 D. van Mieghem ⚽
B. Benamar
11′
17′
⚽ E. Tavşan 1–1
M. Duelund
19′
⚽ O. Tannane 1–2
Pedro Marques
Daryl van Mieghem 🟨
34′
I. El Kadiri 🔁
↦ F. Antonucci
36′
Half-time 1–2
Carel Eiting 🟨
56′
G. Oristanio 🔁
↦ H. Veerman
59′
B. Ould-Chikh 🔁
↦ B. van Duijl
59′
66′
🔁 J. Bruijn
↦ Pedro Marques
76′
⚽ M. Duelund 1–3
L. Schöne
W. Ould-Chikh 🔁
↦ B. Benamar
83′
87′
🔁 I. Cissoko
↦ E. Tavşan
90′
⚽ J. Bruijn 1–4
M. Duelund
92′
🔁 A. Baldursson
↦ O. Tannane
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Volendam

4-4-2
1 F. Stanković G
3 B. Plat D
4 D. Mirani D
23 B. van Duijl D
5 D. Murkin D
7 D. van Mieghem M
8 C. Eiting M
6 B. Benamar M
19 F. Antonucci M
9 H. Veerman F
21 R. Mühren F
Bench (9)
34 I. El Kadiri
10 G. Oristanio
11 B. Ould-Chikh
33 W. Ould-Chikh
22 B. Lauwers
27 G. Read
25 L. Zeefuik
16 I. Nazih
20 K. van Oevelen

Coach: W. Jonk

Nijmegen

4-2-3-1
22 J. Cillessen G
28 B. van Rooij D
4 Iván Márquez D
5 J. Kramer D
16 S. El Karouani D
20 L. Schöne M
71 D. Proper M
7 E. Tavşan M
14 O. Tannane M
10 M. Duelund M
9 Pedro Marques F
Bench (8)
6 J. Bruijn
21 I. Cissoko
8 A. Baldursson
1 M. Branderhorst
32 N. Rossen
31 R. Roefs
30 G. Gertsen
24 C. Verdonk

Coach: R. Meijer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,55
🔒
U
3,63
🔒
B ✓
2,56
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,64
🔒
U2,5
2,24
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Oostrom · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.