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Primeira Liga
Referee: Vitor Ferreira
Vitoria Setubal
U U T S T
0–0
Full-time
Tondela
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitoria Setubal Tondela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
7 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
23 Free kicks against 18
7 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 1 1 0 0 +5 3
2 Sp Braga 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Famalicao 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Gil Vicente 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Boavista 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Maritimo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
7 Sp Lisbon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Portimonense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Belenenses 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Setubal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Tondela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Porto 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Aves 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Moreirense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Santa Clara 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Pacos Ferreira 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Mar -19 Vitoria Setubal – Tondela 0–0 28. Oct -18 Tondela – Vitoria Setubal 1–2 13. May -18 Vitoria Setubal – Tondela 1–0 9. Jan -18 Tondela – Vitoria Setubal 1–1 7. May -17 Tondela – Vitoria Setubal 2–1

Match report

Vitoria Setubal Tondela
José Semedo 🟨
1′
Carlinhos 🟨
24′
27′
🟨 Bruno Wilson
Zequinha 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Fahd Moufi
Vasco Fernandes 🟨
58′
Hildeberto Pereira 🔁
↦ Zequinha
63′
64′
🔁 Jaquité
↦ Pedro Augusto
Nuno Valente 🔁
↦ Tiago Castro
70′
Mano 🟨
73′
80′
🔁 R. Castillo
↦ J. Toro
Hildeberto Pereira 🟨
81′
José Semedo 🟨
86′
José Semedo 🟥
86′
Bruno Pires 🔁
↦ Carlinhos
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Vitoria Setubal

4-4-2
90 G. Makaridze G
5 Mano D
13 Vasco Fernandes D
17 Sílvio D
4 Artur Jorge D
29 José Semedo M
10 Éber Bessa M
76 Carlinhos M
47 Tiago Castro
87 Zequinha F
9 K. Hachadi
Bench (7)
11 Hildeberto Pereira
8 Nuno Valente
24 Bruno Pires
34 Leandro Vilela
16 André Sousa
7 Hélder Guedes
12 Milton Raphael

Coach: Sandro Mendes

Tondela

4-1-4-1
1 Cláudio Ramos G
23 Yohan Tavares D
30 Filipe Ferreira D
3 Bruno Wilson D
18 F. Moufi D
8 João Pedro M
14 Pepelu M
70 J. Toro
6 Pedro Augusto M
15 J. Murillo M
77 Richard Rodrigues F
Bench (7)
5 Jaquité
11 R. Castillo
27 Bruno Monteiro
94 Philipe Sampaio
20 João Vigário
29 Rúben Fonseca
13 Diogo Silva

Coach: Natxo González

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Vitor Ferreira · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.