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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hélder Malheiro

Pacos Ferreira

S T T T S

1–0

Full-time

Moreirense

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Moreirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 24%

20%

27%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

40%

47%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

6 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

20 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 18. · Moreirense 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	16	15	0	1	+34	45
2	Porto	15	12	2	1	+26	38
3	Sp Lisbon	14	8	2	4	+9	26
4	Famalicao	14	7	3	4	+1	24
5	Guimaraes	16	5	7	4	+6	22
6	Rio Ave	15	6	4	5	+2	22
7	Sp Braga	16	6	3	7	+4	21
8	Boavista	16	4	7	5	-2	19
9	Setubal	14	4	7	3	-2	19
10	Vitoria Setubal	14	4	7	3	-2	19
11	Tondela	15	5	4	6	-3	19
12	Moreirense	15	4	6	5	-1	18
13	Gil Vicente	15	4	6	5	-2	18
14	Santa Clara	16	4	6	6	-7	18
15	Maritimo	15	3	7	5	-8	16
16	Belenenses	15	4	3	8	-16	15
17	Portimonense	16	2	8	6	-9	14
18	Pacos Ferreira	15	3	2	10	-13	11
19	Aves	16	2	0	14	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	8	8	0	0	+22	24
2	Benfica	9	8	0	1	+21	24
3	Gil Vicente	9	3	6	0	+5	15
4	Guimaraes	8	4	2	2	+9	14
5	Moreirense	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Rio Ave	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Setubal	8	3	5	0	+3	14
8	Vitoria Setubal	8	3	5	0	+3	14
9	Famalicao	6	4	1	1	+5	13
10	Sp Lisbon	6	4	0	2	+4	12
11	Sp Braga	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Maritimo	8	2	4	2	-1	10
13	Boavista	8	2	4	2	-1	10
14	Santa Clara	9	2	3	4	-5	9
15	Pacos Ferreira	8	2	1	5	-3	7
16	Belenenses	7	2	1	4	-9	7
17	Aves	7	2	0	5	-2	6
18	Portimonense	7	1	3	3	-3	6
19	Tondela	6	1	1	4	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Tondela	9	4	3	2	+1	15
3	Sp Lisbon	8	4	2	2	+5	14
4	Porto	7	4	2	1	+4	14
5	Famalicao	8	3	2	3	-4	11
6	Sp Braga	9	3	1	5	+3	10
7	Boavista	8	2	3	3	-1	9
8	Santa Clara	7	2	3	2	-2	9
9	Rio Ave	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	Guimaraes	8	1	5	2	-3	8
11	Portimonense	9	1	5	3	-6	8
12	Belenenses	8	2	2	4	-7	8
13	Maritimo	7	1	3	3	-7	6
14	Setubal	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Vitoria Setubal	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Moreirense	8	0	4	4	-6	4
17	Pacos Ferreira	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Gil Vicente	6	1	0	5	-7	3
19	Aves	9	0	0	9	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.