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Primeira Liga

Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro

Moreirense

T T T U U

1–1

Full-time

Guimaraes

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

0,8

2,7

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 32%

20%

44%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

40%

56%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

0,9

2,0

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

7 Shots 15

1 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

8 Corners 9

1 Offside 4

21 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Moreirense 12. · Guimaraes 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	11	10	0	1	+21	30
2	Porto	10	8	1	1	+19	25
3	Famalicao	9	7	1	1	+7	22
4	Sp Lisbon	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Guimaraes	9	4	3	2	+7	15
6	Boavista	9	3	6	0	+4	15
7	Tondela	10	3	4	3	+0	13
8	Santa Clara	10	3	4	3	-2	13
9	Rio Ave	10	3	3	4	+1	12
10	Maritimo	10	2	5	3	-3	11
11	Sp Braga	10	3	2	5	-4	11
12	Moreirense	10	2	4	4	-2	10
13	Setubal	9	1	6	2	-4	9
14	Vitoria Setubal	9	1	6	2	-4	9
15	Gil Vicente	10	1	5	4	-6	8
16	Belenenses	9	2	2	5	-9	8
17	Portimonense	10	1	4	5	-8	7
18	Pacos Ferreira	9	1	2	6	-10	5
19	Aves	9	1	0	8	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	7	6	0	1	+13	18
2	Porto	5	5	0	0	+16	15
3	Famalicao	4	4	0	0	+6	12
4	Guimaraes	5	3	2	0	+10	11
5	Boavista	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	Santa Clara	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Gil Vicente	6	1	5	0	+1	8
8	Moreirense	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Setubal	5	1	4	0	+1	7
10	Vitoria Setubal	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Sp Braga	4	2	1	1	+0	7
12	Sp Lisbon	4	2	0	2	+1	6
13	Rio Ave	5	1	2	2	+1	5
14	Maritimo	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Pacos Ferreira	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	Aves	4	1	0	3	-1	3
17	Belenenses	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Portimonense	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Tondela	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Tondela	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Sp Lisbon	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Porto	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Famalicao	5	3	1	1	+1	10
6	Rio Ave	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Boavista	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Maritimo	5	1	3	1	-1	6
9	Portimonense	6	1	3	2	-4	6
10	Belenenses	5	1	2	2	-5	5
11	Guimaraes	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Santa Clara	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Sp Braga	6	1	1	4	-4	4
14	Moreirense	6	0	3	3	-5	3
15	Setubal	4	0	2	2	-5	2
16	Vitoria Setubal	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-8	1
18	Gil Vicente	4	0	0	4	-7	0
19	Aves	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.