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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Alaves
S T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Betis
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
28%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
44%
72%
Both score Ø 64%
44%
83%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%
6 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 6
4 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 15
7 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Alaves 15. · Betis 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 19 12 4 3 +26 40
2 Real Madrid 19 11 7 1 +24 40
3 Ath Madrid 19 9 8 2 +10 35
4 Sevilla 19 10 5 4 +6 35
5 Sociedad 19 9 4 6 +8 31
6 Valencia 19 8 7 4 +4 31
7 Getafe 19 8 6 5 +6 30
8 Ath Bilbao 19 7 8 4 +7 29
9 Villarreal 19 8 4 7 +7 28
10 Granada 19 8 3 8 +0 27
11 Levante 19 8 2 9 -3 26
12 Osasuna 18 5 8 5 +1 23
13 Betis 18 6 5 7 -6 23
14 Valladolid 19 4 9 6 -6 21
15 Alaves 18 5 4 9 -9 19
16 Eibar 19 5 4 10 -11 19
17 Mallorca 19 4 3 12 -15 15
18 Celta 18 3 5 10 -13 14
19 Leganes 19 3 5 11 -14 14
20 Espanol 19 2 5 12 -22 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alaves Betis
1–0 Aleix Vidal
Lucas Pérez
14′
Joselu 🟨
22′
33′
🟨 Nabil Fekir
Mubarak Wakaso 🟨
34′
Ximo Navarro 🟨
45′
Manu García 🟨
45′
Rubén Duarte 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Sergio Canales
Half-time 1–1
55′
Emerson 1–1
N. Fekir
Luis Rioja 🟨
67′
Martín Aguirregabiria 🔁
↦ Ximo Navarro
69′
73′
🔁 D. Lainez
↦ Joaquín
78′
🟥 Zouhair Feddal
Pere Pons 🔁
↦ Aleix Vidal
81′
81′
🔁 Aleñà
↦ N. Fekir
84′
🔁 Loren Morón
↦ Borja Iglesias
O. Burke 🔁
↦ M. Wakaso
85′
Martín Aguirregabiria 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Marc Bartra
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Fernando Pacheco G
23 Ximo Navarro D
5 Víctor Laguardia D
4 Rodrigo Ely D
3 Rubén Duarte D
18 Aleix Vidal M
19 Manu García M
22 Mubarak Wakaso M
11 Luis Rioja M
7 Lucas Pérez F
9 Joselu F
Bench (7)
13 Antonio Sivera
6 Lisandro Magallán
21 Martín Aguirregabiria
14 Burgui
20 Pere Pons
24 Oliver Burke
29 Borja Sainz

Coach: Asier Garitano

Betis

4-1-4-1
1 Joel Robles G
22 Emerson D
23 Aïssa Mandi D
4 Zouhair Feddal D
15 Álex Moreno D
5 Marc Bartra M
8 Nabil Fekir M
10 Sergio Canales M
18 Andrés Guardado M
17 Joaquín M
9 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (7)
31 Carlos Marin
32 Edgar Gonzalez
19 Antonio Barragán
24 Carles Aleñá
20 Diego Lainez
16 Loren Moron
11 Cristian Tello

Coach: Rubí

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,65
U ✓
3,21
B
2,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.