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Serie A
Referee: G Manganiello
Brescia
T S S T U
1–2
Full-time
Lazio
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,7
This season — Serie A · 17/16 matches
Win Ø 47%
24%
69%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
59%
81%
Both score Ø 52%
41%
63%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
0,9
2,4
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

36% Possession 64%
4 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 24
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 18. · Lazio 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 17 13 3 1 +22 42
2 Juventus 17 13 3 1 +14 42
3 Lazio 16 11 3 2 +22 36
4 Roma 17 10 5 2 +16 35
5 Atalanta 17 9 4 4 +18 31
6 Cagliari 17 8 5 4 +10 29
7 Parma 17 7 4 6 +4 25
8 Napoli 17 6 6 5 +5 24
9 Bologna 17 6 4 7 -2 22
10 Torino 17 6 3 8 -4 21
11 Milan 17 6 3 8 -8 21
12 Sassuolo 17 5 4 8 +0 19
13 Verona 16 5 4 7 -3 19
14 Udinese 17 5 3 9 -15 18
15 Fiorentina 17 4 5 8 -7 17
16 Lecce 17 3 6 8 -13 15
17 Sampdoria 17 4 3 10 -13 15
18 Brescia 17 4 2 11 -14 14
19 Spal 17 3 3 11 -14 12
20 Genoa 17 2 5 10 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Lazio
1–0 Mario Balotelli
Stefano Sabelli
18′
Andrea Cistana 🟨
35′
Andrea Cistana 🟥
39′
42′
Ciro Immobile 1–1
Massimiliano Mangraviti 🔁
↦ Ernesto Torregrossa
42′
Sandro Tonali 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
Mattia Viviani 🔁
↦ Nikolas Špalek
46′
Mario Balotelli 🟨
47′
56′
🟨 Ştefan Radu
Dimitri Bisoli 🟨
57′
57′
🟨 Marco Parolo
59′
🔁 Danilo Cataldi
↦ Marco Parolo
59′
🔁 Jony
↦ Ştefan Radu
65′
🟨 Jony
72′
🟨 Danilo Cataldi
77′
🔁 André Anderson
↦ Senad Lulić
Alessandro Semprini 🔁
↦ Sandro Tonali
81′
Jhon Chancellor 🟨
86′
90′
Ciro Immobile 1–2
Felipe Caicedo
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Brescia

4-3-1-2
1 Jesse Joronen G
2 Stefano Sabelli D
15 Andrea Cistana D
14 Jhon Chancellor D
3 Aleš Matějů D
25 Dimitri Bisoli M
4 Sandro Tonali M
28 Rômulo M
7 Nikolas Špalek M
11 Ernesto Torregrossa F
45 Mario Balotelli F
Bench (11)
22 Enrico Alfonso
12 Lorenzo Andrenacci
20 Giangiacomo Magnani
5 Daniele Gastaldello
29 Alessandro Semprini
24 Mattia Viviani
23 Leonardo Morosini
19 Massimiliano Mangraviti
8 Jaromír Zmrhal
21 Alessandro Matri
18 Florian Aye

Coach: E. Corini

Lazio

3-5-2
1 Thomas Strakosha G
3 Luiz Felipe D
33 Francesco Acerbi D
26 Ştefan Radu D
29 Manuel Lazzari M
21 Sergej Milinković-Savić M
16 Marco Parolo M
11 Joaquín Correa M
19 Senad Lulić M
20 Felipe Caicedo F
17 Ciro Immobile F
Bench (11)
24 Silvio Proto
23 Guido Guerrieri
4 Patric
15 Bastos
49 Jorge Silva
32 Danilo Cataldi
77 Adam Marušić
7 Valon Berisha
28 André Anderson
22 Jony
34 Bobby Adekanye

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,52
U
4,34
B ✓
1,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Manganiello · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.