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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fábio Veríssimo
Famalicao
U S S U U
0–1
Full-time
Portimonense
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Famalicao Portimonense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 29/30 matches
Win Ø 29%
45%
13%
Points per game
1,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
66%
37%
Both score Ø 58%
62%
53%
Average goals
3,1
2,1
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 25
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Famalicao 6. · Portimonense 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 31 24 4 3 +47 76
2 Benfica 31 21 5 5 +37 68
3 Sp Lisbon 29 17 4 8 +18 55
4 Sp Braga 30 16 5 9 +15 53
5 Rio Ave 30 14 8 8 +11 50
6 Famalicao 29 13 9 7 +4 48
7 Guimaraes 29 10 11 8 +14 41
8 Boavista 31 11 8 12 -4 41
9 Moreirense 31 9 13 9 +3 40
10 Santa Clara 31 10 10 11 -6 40
11 Gil Vicente 30 9 10 11 -4 37
12 Maritimo 31 7 12 12 -9 33
13 Pacos Ferreira 30 9 4 17 -15 31
14 Setubal 28 6 12 10 -13 30
15 Vitoria Setubal 28 6 12 10 -13 30
16 Tondela 30 7 9 14 -15 30
17 Belenenses 29 8 6 15 -21 30
18 Portimonense 30 4 14 12 -16 26
19 Aves 30 4 2 24 -33 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Famalicao Portimonense
Roderick 🟨
13′
17′
Ricardo Vaz Té 0–1
Bruno Tabata
31′
🟨 Dener
Half-time 0–1
Riccieli 🔁
↦ N. Pérez
46′
R. Coly 🔁
↦ Rúben Lameiras
46′
Gustavo Assunção 🔁
↦ Álex Centelles
46′
66′
🔁 Bruno Costa
↦ Willyan
F. Martins 🟨
68′
Walterson 🔁
↦ U. Račić
70′
Riccieli 🟨
73′
74′
🔁 Beto
↦ Ricardo Vaz Té
Anderson Silva 🔁
↦ Fábio Martins
77′
83′
🔁 Henrique
↦ Fali Candé
84′
🔁 Rodrigo
↦ Aylton Boa Morte
84′
🔁 Rômulo
↦ Junior Tavares
88′
🟨 Romulo
G. A. Assuncao 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Famalicao

4-2-3-1
26 Vaná G
2 Ivo Pinto D
23 Roderick Miranda D
18 N. Pérez D
32 Álex Centelles D
69 U. Račić M
28 Pedro Gonçalves M
11 Fábio Martins M
10 Rúben Lameiras M
17 Diogo Gonçalves M
19 Toni Martínez F
Bench (9)
15 Riccieli
40 R. Coly
12 Gustavo Assunção
7 Walterson
33 Anderson Silva
8 L. Ofori
6 Guga
97 Patrick William
1 Rafael Defendi

Coach: João Pedro Sousa

Portimonense

4-3-3
16 S. Gonda G
3 Lucas Possignolo D
23 Junior Tavares M
4 Jadson D
6 E. Hackman D
28 Willyan M
7 Dener M
10 Bruno Tabata F
12 Ricardo Vaz Té F
77 Aylton Boa Morte F
36 Fali Candé D
Bench (9)
88 Bruno Costa
14 Beto
19 Henrique
92 Rodrigo
5 Rômulo
22 K. Anzai
11 M. Moreno
26 Samuel
17 Anderson Oliveira

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U
3,42
B ✓
3,38
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Fábio Veríssimo · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.