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Bundesliga
Referee: R Schörgenhofer
Admira
T U U T S
0–3
Full-time
St. Polten
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Admira St. Polten
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
43%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Admira 10. · St. Polten 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 30 20 8 2 +70 68
2 LASK 30 20 4 6 +35 64
3 SK Rapid 30 16 7 7 +21 55
4 Wolfsberger AC 30 14 8 8 +24 50
5 Austria Vienna 30 10 11 9 +0 41
6 Altach 30 10 8 12 -5 38
7 Hartberg 30 11 5 14 -25 38
8 Sturm Graz 30 10 5 15 -8 35
9 St. Polten 30 6 10 14 -31 28
10 Admira 30 6 9 15 -25 27
11 Mattersburg 30 7 6 17 -27 27
12 Tirol 30 6 7 17 -29 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Admira St. Polten
Half-time 0–0
M. Kadlec 🔁
↦ K. Pusch
52′
52′
D. Schutz 0–1
C. Burke
56′
🔁 M. Rasner
↦ S. Ingolitsch
A. Leitner 🟨
67′
71′
🔁 D. Schutz
↦ N. Meister
S. Paintsil 🔁
↦ M. Pink
71′
S. Bakis 🔁
↦ E. Hoffer
72′
73′
🟨 K. Schulz
74′
🟨 M. Ambichl
79′
🔁 K. Schulz
↦ N. Gorzel
79′
🔁 M. Ambichl
↦ D. Drescher
80′
🟨 C. Burke
80′
🔁 C. Burke
↦ I. Ouedraogo
M. Lackner 🔁
↦ B. Thoelke
82′
83′
I. Ouedraogo 0–2
C. Riegler
S. Bauer 🟨
85′
M. Hjulmand 🔁
↦ M. Pavelic
89′
94′
I. Ouedraogo 0–3
N. Meister
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Admira

4-3-1-2
1 Andreas Leitner G
4 Sebastian Bauer D
6 Christoph Schosswendter D
27 Emanuel Aiwu D
26 Jonathan Scherzer D
14 Morten Hjulmand M
18 Markus Lackner M
8 Roman Kerschbaum M
20 Marco Kadlec M
21 Paintsil Seth F
11 Sinan Bakış F
Bench (7)
30 Christoph Haas
5 Bjarne Thoelke
25 Mario Pavelić
10 Daniel Toth
31 Kolja Pusch
16 Erwin Hoffer
13 Markus Pink

St. Polten

3-4-2-1
1 Christoph Riegler G
14 Christoph Klarer D
3 Luan D
17 Ahmet Muhamedbegović D
18 Martin Rasner M
8 Michael Ambichl M
39 Robert Ljubičić M
21 Kofi Schulz M
77 Alan Cariús F
20 Daniel Schutz F
9 Cory Burke F
Bench (7)
23 Kilian Kretschmer
29 Daniel Drescher
22 Sandro Ingolitsch
6 Daniel Petrovic
31 Nico Gorzel
7 Nicolas Meister
33 Issiaka Ouedraogo

Coach: A. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Schörgenhofer · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.