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Championship
Referee: T Harrington
Barnsley
S T T S U
2–0
Full-time
Blackburn
U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,2
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Championship · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 31%
23%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
49%
51%
Both score Ø 55%
54%
56%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
12 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 3
6 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Barnsley 24. · Blackburn 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 39 22 8 9 +27 74
2 West Brom 39 19 14 6 +26 71
3 Nott'm Forest 39 17 13 9 +12 64
4 Fulham 37 18 9 10 +10 63
5 Cardiff 38 15 14 9 +6 59
6 Brentford 36 16 9 11 +28 57
7 Swansea 38 14 15 9 +8 57
8 Preston 39 16 9 14 +3 57
9 Derby 39 15 12 12 +2 57
10 Blackburn 39 15 11 13 +7 56
11 Millwall 40 13 17 10 +3 56
12 Bristol City 39 15 10 14 -5 55
13 Sheffield Weds 39 14 10 15 -2 52
14 QPR 39 14 8 17 -6 50
15 Reading 39 13 10 16 +3 49
16 Birmingham 39 12 13 14 -9 49
17 Wigan 39 12 11 16 -8 47
18 Charlton 39 12 9 18 -8 45
19 Middlesbrough 39 10 14 15 -11 44
20 Stoke 39 12 7 20 -8 43
21 Hull 39 11 9 19 -15 42
22 Huddersfield 39 11 9 19 -17 42
23 Luton 39 11 6 22 -27 39
24 Barnsley 39 9 11 19 -19 38

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barnsley Blackburn
C. Styles 🔁
↦ R. Palmer
37′
Elliot Simoes 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
K. Ludewig 🔁
↦ J. Williams
56′
C. Chaplin 🔁
↦ Elliot Simões
56′
L. Thomas 🔁
↦ M. Ritzmaier
56′
1–0 C. Chaplin
K. Ludewig
58′
67′
🔁 B. Brereton
↦ D. Samuel
68′
🔁 J. Davenport
↦ L. Holtby
68′
🔁 D. Graham
↦ A. Armstrong
68′
🔁 S. Gallagher
↦ J. Rothwell
74′
🟥 Ben Brereton
2–0 J. Brown
A. Mowatt
76′
P. Schmidt 🔁
↦ C. Woodrow
80′
83′
🔁 H. Chapman
↦ E. Bennett
90′
🟨 Harrison Chapman
90′
🟨 Jacob Davenport
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Barnsley

3-4-1-2
13 J. Walton G
18 M. Sollbauer D
6 M. Andersen D
2 J. Williams M
3 B. Williams D
17 M. Ritzmaier M
27 A. Mowatt M
41 R. Palmer M
9 C. Woodrow F
7 J. Brown F
28 Elliot Simões F
Bench (9)
20 C. Styles
14 K. Ludewig
11 C. Chaplin
16 L. Thomas
19 P. Schmidt
10 M. Bähre
24 A. Halme
40 B. Collins
22 C. Oduor

Coach: A. Murray

Blackburn

4-3-3
1 C. Walton G
14 C. Mulgrew D
24 T. Adarabioyo D
2 R. Nyambe D
19 S. Downing M
31 E. Bennett D
4 B. Johnson M
22 L. Holtby F
8 J. Rothwell M
12 D. Samuel F
7 A. Armstrong F
Bench (9)
20 B. Brereton
18 J. Davenport
10 D. Graham
9 S. Gallagher
11 H. Chapman
13 J. Leutwiler
41 H. Carter
44 J. Vale
6 R. Smallwood

Coach: T. Mowbray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,51
U
3,25
B
2,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Harrington · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.