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Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Costa
Santa Clara
T S T T S
0–4
Full-time
Guimaraes
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Guimaraes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
44%
56%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
44%
22%
Both score Ø 28%
44%
11%
Average goals
2,1
1,6
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

65% Possession 35%
11 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santa Clara 7. · Guimaraes 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 10 8 2 0 +17 26
2 Benfica 10 8 0 2 +12 24
3 Porto 10 7 1 2 +12 22
4 Sp Braga 9 6 0 3 +5 18
5 Guimaraes 9 5 1 3 +0 16
6 Pacos Ferreira 10 4 3 3 +1 15
7 Santa Clara 9 4 1 4 +1 13
8 Belenenses 10 2 5 3 -2 11
9 Rio Ave 9 2 5 2 -2 11
10 Famalicao 10 2 5 3 -5 11
11 Moreirense 10 2 4 4 -3 10
12 Maritimo 10 3 1 6 -4 10
13 Nacional 10 2 4 4 -4 10
14 Gil Vicente 10 2 3 5 -4 9
15 Boavista 10 1 6 3 -5 9
16 Tondela 10 2 3 5 -9 9
17 Farense 10 2 2 6 -4 8
18 Portimonense 10 2 2 6 -6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santa Clara Guimaraes
6′
André André 0–1
Ricardo Quaresma
27′
Ricardo Quaresma 0–2
30′
O. Estupiñán 0–3
André André
Half-time 0–3
Diogo Salomão 🔁
↦ João Lucas
46′
54′
O. Estupiñán 0–4
Ricardo Quaresma
Mikel Villanueva 🟨
56′
64′
🔁 Miguel Luís
↦ André André
Anderson Carvalho 🔁
↦ Osama Rashid
71′
Jean Patric 🔁
↦ Costinha
71′
Lincoln 🔁
↦ Ukra
71′
73′
🔁 M. Edwards
↦ Rochinha
74′
🔁 N. Janvier
↦ Ricardo Quaresma
Lucas Marques 🔁
↦ Carlos
83′
84′
🔁 Bruno Duarte
↦ O. Estupiñán
85′
🔁 André Amaro
↦ Pepelu
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Santa Clara

4-3-3
99 Marco Pereira G
4 Fábio Cardoso D
3 M. Villanueva D
2 Rafael Ramos D
15 João Lucas D
8 Osama Rashid M
20 Costinha M
21 Nené M
17 Ukra F
13 Carlos F
70 S. Moghanlou F
Bench (9)
35 Diogo Salomão
27 Anderson Carvalho
26 Jean Patric
10 Lincoln
33 Lucas Marques
5 João Afonso
95 P. Sagna
82 André Mesquita
1 André Ferreira

Coach: Daniel Ramos

Guimaraes

4-3-3
1 Bruno Varela G
44 Jorge Fernandes D
17 F. Sacko D
14 G. Mensah D
6 A. Mumin D
11 André André M
19 Pepelu M
70 André Almeida M
10 Ricardo Quaresma F
16 Rochinha F
31 O. Estupiñán F
Bench (8)
88 Miguel Luís
7 M. Edwards
98 N. Janvier
9 Bruno Duarte
74 André Amaro
86 N. Holm
8 D. Poha
29 M. Trmal

Coach: João Henriques

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,76
U
3,18
B ✓
2,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,19
U2,5
1,65
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rui Costa · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.