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Primeira Liga
Referee: Gustavo Correia
Porto
S U S S S
2–0
Full-time
Belenenses
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Belenenses
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

73% Possession 27%
21 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Porto Belenenses
1–0 Toni Martínez
Otávio
19′
Sérgio Oliveira 🟨
26′
36′
🟨 Trova Boni
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Diogo Calila
Luis Díaz ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
51′
Luis Díaz 🟨
52′
59′
🔁 Jójó
↦ Diogo Calila
59′
🔁 Afonso Sousa
↦ S. Sithole
M. Uribe 🔁
↦ Sérgio Oliveira
62′
2–0 L. Díaz
João Mário
65′
70′
🔁 Pedro Nuno
↦ Nilton Varela
70′
🔁 Francisco Teixeira
↦ A. Luković
Pepê Aquino 🔁
↦ M. Taremi
82′
82′
🔁 Luís Mota
↦ M. Cassierra
83′
🟨 Francisco Coelho
Fábio Vieira 🔁
↦ Otávio
83′
Francisco Conceição 🔁
↦ L. Díaz
90′
Evanilson 🔁
↦ Toni Martínez
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Porto

4-4-2
99 Diogo Costa G
3 Pepe D
19 C. Mbemba D
12 Z. Sanusi D
27 Sérgio Oliveira M
25 Otávio M
28 Bruno Costa M
9 M. Taremi F
29 Toni Martínez F
7 L. Díaz M
23 João Mário D
Bench (9)
8 M. Uribe
11 Pepê Aquino
50 Fábio Vieira
10 Francisco Conceição
30 Evanilson
1 A. Marchesín
5 Iván Marcano
20 Vitinha
18 Wilson Manafá

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Belenenses

3-5-2
1 Luiz Felipe G
27 C. Akas D
2 Diogo Calila M
4 Tomás Ribeiro D
5 Nilton Varela M
11 A. Luković M
21 T. Phete D
8 S. Sithole M
33 T. Boni M
9 M. Cassierra F
18 A. Ndour F
Bench (9)
13 Jójó
10 Afonso Sousa
7 Pedro Nuno
19 Francisco Teixeira
15 Luís Mota
31 João Monteiro
14 Danny Henriques
6 Afonso Taira
16 César Sousa

Coach: Petit

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,22
U
6,26
B
11,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,41
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gustavo Correia · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.