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Primeira Liga

Referee: Vitor Ferreira

Sp Braga

U U S S T

4–1

Full-time

Vizela

U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Vizela

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

1,5

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 27%

45%

Points per game

1,7

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

55%

36%

Both score Ø 60%

55%

64%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%

17 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Braga 6. · Vizela 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	12	10	2	0	+22	32
2	Sp Lisbon	12	10	2	0	+15	32
3	Benfica	12	10	1	1	+27	31
4	Estoril	12	5	6	1	+7	21
5	Portimonense	12	6	2	4	+4	20
6	Sp Braga	11	5	4	2	+3	19
7	Guimaraes	12	4	4	4	+2	16
8	Gil Vicente	12	3	5	4	+0	14
9	Arouca	12	3	4	5	-5	13
10	Tondela	12	4	0	8	-6	12
11	Boavista	12	2	5	5	-7	11
12	Pacos Ferreira	12	2	5	5	-7	11
13	Famalicao	12	2	4	6	-4	10
14	Maritimo	12	2	4	6	-5	10
15	Vizela	11	1	7	3	-7	10
16	Moreirense	12	1	6	5	-8	9
17	Belenenses	12	1	5	6	-15	8
18	Santa Clara	12	1	4	7	-16	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	7	6	1	0	+10	19
2	Porto	6	6	0	0	+15	18
3	Benfica	5	4	0	1	+9	12
4	Guimaraes	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Arouca	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Boavista	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Tondela	6	3	0	3	+0	9
8	Sp Braga	5	2	2	1	+4	8
9	Estoril	6	1	4	1	+0	7
10	Vizela	6	1	4	1	+0	7
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Moreirense	6	1	3	2	-1	6
13	Maritimo	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Gil Vicente	6	1	2	3	-1	5
16	Belenenses	6	1	2	3	-9	5
17	Santa Clara	6	1	2	3	-9	5
18	Famalicao	6	0	3	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	7	6	1	0	+18	19
2	Porto	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Estoril	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Portimonense	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Sp Lisbon	5	4	1	0	+5	13
6	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	-1	11
7	Gil Vicente	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Famalicao	6	2	1	3	+1	7
9	Guimaraes	6	1	3	2	-1	6
10	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	2	3	-5	5
11	Maritimo	6	1	1	4	-4	4
12	Tondela	6	1	0	5	-6	3
13	Arouca	6	0	3	3	-6	3
14	Belenenses	6	0	3	3	-6	3
15	Moreirense	6	0	3	3	-7	3
16	Vizela	5	0	3	2	-7	3
17	Santa Clara	6	0	2	4	-7	2
18	Boavista	6	0	2	4	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.