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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Benfica

S S T S U

6–1

Full-time

Sp Braga

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Sp Braga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 65%

80%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

2,1

1,6

Conceded

0,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

62% Possession 38%

12 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 6

8 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 3. · Sp Braga 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	11	9	2	0	+21	29
2	Sp Lisbon	11	9	2	0	+13	29
3	Benfica	10	8	1	1	+15	25
4	Estoril	11	5	5	1	+7	20
5	Sp Braga	10	5	4	1	+8	19
6	Portimonense	11	5	2	4	+1	17
7	Guimaraes	11	4	4	3	+3	16
8	Gil Vicente	11	3	4	4	+0	13
9	Tondela	11	4	0	7	-4	12
10	Pacos Ferreira	11	2	5	4	-5	11
11	Boavista	11	2	5	4	-6	11
12	Famalicao	11	2	4	5	-1	10
13	Arouca	11	2	4	5	-6	10
14	Vizela	11	1	7	3	-7	10
15	Moreirense	11	1	5	5	-8	8
16	Belenenses	11	1	5	5	-8	8
17	Maritimo	11	1	4	6	-7	7
18	Santa Clara	11	1	3	7	-16	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Porto	5	5	0	0	+14	15
3	Guimaraes	6	3	1	2	+3	10
4	Benfica	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Boavista	6	2	3	1	+2	9
6	Tondela	6	3	0	3	+0	9
7	Sp Braga	5	2	2	1	+4	8
8	Arouca	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Vizela	6	1	4	1	+0	7
10	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	-1	7
11	Estoril	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Moreirense	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Gil Vicente	6	1	2	3	-1	5
15	Belenenses	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Santa Clara	6	1	2	3	-9	5
17	Famalicao	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Maritimo	5	0	3	2	-3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Porto	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Estoril	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Sp Lisbon	5	4	1	0	+5	13
5	Sp Braga	5	3	2	0	+4	11
6	Portimonense	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Gil Vicente	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Famalicao	6	2	1	3	+1	7
9	Guimaraes	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Pacos Ferreira	5	1	2	2	-3	5
11	Maritimo	6	1	1	4	-4	4
12	Tondela	5	1	0	4	-4	3
13	Arouca	6	0	3	3	-6	3
14	Belenenses	6	0	3	3	-6	3
15	Moreirense	6	0	3	3	-7	3
16	Vizela	5	0	3	2	-7	3
17	Boavista	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Santa Clara	5	0	1	4	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.