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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Motherwell
U T S S T
1–0
Full-time
Dundee United
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 44%
40%
47%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
47%
20%
Both score Ø 43%
53%
33%
Average goals
2,9
1,9
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
20 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 5. · Dundee United 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 14 10 3 1 +18 33
2 Celtic 14 9 2 3 +22 29
3 Hearts 15 7 6 2 +11 27
4 Dundee United 15 7 4 4 +1 25
5 Motherwell 15 6 3 6 -5 21
6 Hibernian 13 5 3 5 +0 18
7 St Mirren 15 3 7 5 -8 16
8 Aberdeen 15 4 3 8 -5 15
9 ST Johnstone 14 3 5 6 -5 14
10 Livingston 14 3 4 7 -8 13
11 Dundee 14 3 4 7 -13 13
12 Ross County 14 2 4 8 -8 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Dundee United
1–0 T. Watt
12′
42′
🔁 N. Clark
↦ D. Glass
Barry Maguire 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 D. Watson
↦ I. Niskanen
S. O'Donnell 🔁
↦ S. Johansen
59′
71′
🟨 Florent Hoti
75′
🔁 A. Spörle
↦ S. McMann
Nathan McGinley 🟨
77′
Sean Goss 🟨
77′
78′
🟨 Adrián Spörle
Barry Maguire 🟨
82′
Barry Maguire 🟥
82′
J. Carroll 🔁
↦ K. van Veen
84′
L. Grimshaw 🔁
↦ K. Woolery
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-3
1 L. Kelly G
4 R. Lamie D
19 N. McGinley D
21 S. Johansen D
5 B. Mugabi D
27 S. Goss M
6 B. Maguire M
16 C. Slattery M
32 T. Watt F
9 K. van Veen F
7 K. Woolery F
Bench (7)
2 S. O'Donnell
3 J. Carroll
23 L. Grimshaw
28 J. Roberts
18 D. Cornelius
12 S. Fox
29 C. Shields

Coach: G. Alexander

Dundee United

4-1-4-1
1 B. Siegrist G
4 C. Mulgrew D
12 R. Edwards D
33 S. McMann D
22 K. Freeman D
8 P. Pawlett M
7 I. Niskanen M
23 I. Harkes M
21 D. Glass M
14 F. Hoti M
27 L. Appéré F
Bench (7)
10 N. Clark
30 D. Watson
3 A. Spörle
32 A. Meekison
16 T. Carson
11 L. Chalmers
28 K. Smith

Coach: T. Courts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,55
U
3,02
B
2,96
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,51
U2,5 ✓
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.