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Primeira Liga
Referee: A Nobre
Porto
S T S S S
3–0
Full-time
Guimaraes
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Guimaraes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,68 xG 0,54
50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Feb -25 Porto – Guimaraes 1–1 21. Sep -24 Guimaraes – Porto 0–3 17. Apr -24 Porto – Guimaraes 3–1 7. Apr -24 Porto – Guimaraes 1–2 3. Apr -24 Guimaraes – Porto 0–1

Match report

Porto Guimaraes
1–0 Pepe ⚽
B. Sainz
12′
15′
🟨 Tiago Silva
2–0 Samu ⚽
A. Costa
32′
Half-time 2–0
50′
🟨 Miguel Maga
Zaidu 🔁
↦ M. Fernandes
55′
56′
🔁 N. Oliveira
↦ N. Santos
56′
🔁 T. Arcanjo
↦ O. Camara
S. Eustaquio 🔁
↦ G. Veiga
65′
William Gomes 🔁
↦ B. Sainz
65′
D. Prpic 🔁
↦ J. Bednarek
65′
72′
🔁 O. Lebedenko
↦ Maga
72′
🔁 A. Ndoye
↦ Gustavo
3–0 Samu ⚽
79′
William Gomes 🟨
80′
L. de Jong 🔁
↦ Samu
85′
94′
🟨 Nélson Oliveira
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Porto

4-3-3
99 D. Costa G
20 A. Costa D
18 N. Perez D
5 J. Bednarek D
52 M. Fernandes D
8 V. Froholdt M
22 A. Varela M
10 G. Veiga M
11 Pepê F
9 Samu F
17 B. Sainz F
Bench (9)
14 Claudio Ramos
3 J. Pedro
6 S. Eustaquio
7 William Gomes
12 Zaidu
21 D. Prpic
26 L. de Jong
27 D. Gul
86 R. Mora

Coach: Francesco Farioli

Guimaraes

4-4-1-1
27 Charles Silva G
2 Maga D
24 T. Borevkovic D
3 M. Nobrega D
13 J. I. Mendes D
21 V. Felix M
10 Tiago Silva M
8 T. Handel M
19 O. Camara M
77 N. Santos F
11 Gustavo F
Bench (9)
25 J. Castillo
5 Paulo Vitor
7 N. Oliveira
16 Beni
17 O. Lebedenko
18 T. Arcanjo
22 F. Blanco
23 D. Sousa
90 A. Ndoye

Coach: Gil Lameiras

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,57
🔒
U
3,93
🔒
B
5,41
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,79
🔒
U2,5
1,93
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Nobre · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.