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Primeira Liga
Referee: A Rodrigues
Estoril
T S T U S
1–1
Full-time
Estrela
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Estoril Estrela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,67 xG 1,37
65% Possession 35%
8 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. May -25 Estoril – Estrela 4–0 5. Jan -25 Estrela – Estoril 2–4 4. Feb -24 Estoril – Estrela 1–0 25. Aug -23 Estrela – Estoril 2–1

Match report

Estoril Estrela
Pedro Amaral 🟥
VAR: Red card cancelled
23′
Nodar Lominadze 🟨
25′
Kévin Boma 🟨
27′
1–0 T. Parente ⚽
36′
Half-time 1–0
Patrick de Paula 🔁
↦ N. Lominadze
46′
46′
🔁 A. Marcus
↦ Robinho
Patrick de Paula 🟨
49′
Jordan Holsgrove 🟨
50′
58′
🔁 G. Montoia
↦ Nilton
58′
🔁 Kikas
↦ J. Gastao
A. Lacximicant 🔁
↦ Y. Begraoui
64′
Pizzi 🔁
↦ R. Guitane
64′
74′
🔁 Rodrigo Pinho
↦
74′
🔁 I. Stoica
↦ A. Godoy
75′
⚽ I. Stoica 1–1
Rodrigo Pinho
A. Marques 🔁
↦ J. Holsgrove
79′
F. Garcia 🔁
↦ P. Carvalho
84′
T. Brito 🔁
↦ J. Carvalho
88′
90′
🔁 J. Resende
↦ Jovane
96′
🟨 Bernardo Schappo
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Estoril

3-4-3
1 J. Robles G
44 K. Boma D
25 F. Bacher D
24 P. Amaral D
22 P. Carvalho M
7 N. Lominadze M
10 J. Holsgrove M
55 T. Parente M
99 R. Guitane F
14 Y. Begraoui F
12 J. Carvalho F
Bench (9)
16 M. Turk
5 D. Brasido
9 A. Marques
17 F. Garcia
19 A. Lacximicant
21 Pizzi
45 Patrick de Paula
57 L. Bimai
90 T. Brito

Coach: Ian Cathro

Estrela

3-4-2-1
40 R. Ribeiro G
30 Luan Patrick D
14 Bernardo Schappo D
79 A. Chernev D
55 S. Lopes Cabral M
8 Robinho M
19 P. Moreira M
25 Nilton M
89 J. Gastao F
11 Jovane F
13 A. Godoy F
Bench (9)
1 D. Pinto
4 Semeu
9 Rodrigo Pinho
10 I. Stoica
21 G. Montoia
26 J. Resende
63 A. Sola
98 Kikas
99 A. Marcus

Coach: Joao Nuno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,89
🔒
U ✓
3,49
🔒
B
3,83
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,00
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,73
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.