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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Antwerp
S U T T S
3–2
Full-time
Gent
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
This season — Pro League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 53%
50%
56%
Points per game
1,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
81%
56%
Both score Ø 69%
88%
50%
Average goals
3,6
3,2
Scored
2,1
2,1
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antwerp 6. · Gent 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 16 12 3 1 +30 39
2 Standard 17 10 3 4 +19 33
3 Gent 16 9 4 3 +15 31
4 Charleroi 16 9 4 3 +11 31
5 Mechelen 17 9 4 4 +6 31
6 Antwerp 16 8 3 5 +8 27
7 Genk 17 8 3 6 +5 27
8 Waregem 17 7 5 5 +5 26
9 Anderlecht 17 5 7 5 +1 22
10 Mouscron 15 5 6 4 +2 21
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 15 5 6 4 +2 21
12 St Truiden 17 5 5 7 -10 20
13 Eupen 17 4 5 8 -15 17
14 Kortrijk 17 4 2 11 -9 14
15 Oostende 17 3 4 10 -14 13
16 Cercle Brugge 17 3 2 12 -22 11
17 Waasland-Beveren 15 2 4 9 -17 10
18 Beveren 15 2 4 9 -17 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Gent
-3′
🟨 Sven Kums
20′
R. Yaremchuk 0–1
J. David
1–1 D. Mbokani
25′
32′
🟨 Elisha Owusu
2–1 L. Refaelov
33′
Ivo Rodrigues 🟨
39′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 D. Mbokani
Ivo Rodrigues
48′
60′
🔁 G. Kvilitaia
↦ L. Depoitre
61′
🔁 R. Bezus
↦ E. Owusu
Faris Haroun 🟨
64′
S. Juklerød 🔁
↦ K. Miyoshi
77′
83′
🟨 Roman Bezus
Z. Gano 🔁
↦ D. Mbokani
84′
85′
🟨 Jonathan David
85′
🔁 A. Castro-Montes
↦ M. Lustig
Ritchie De Laet 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Roman Yaremchuk
Dino Arslanagic 🟨
90′
A. Baby 🔁
↦ Ivo Rodrigues
91′
94′
J. David 3–2
I. Plastun
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
1 S. Bolat G
2 R. De Laet D
15 D. Arslanagic D
22 W. Hoedt D
30 Buta D
38 F. Haroun M
11 L. Refaelov M
19 K. Miyoshi M
25 A. De Sart M
70 D. Mbokani F
8 Ivo Rodrigues M
Bench (7)
6 S. Juklerød
93 Z. Gano
14 A. Baby
3 A. Seck
28 M. Benson
87 K. Mirallas
39 J. Teunckens

Coach: L. Bölöni

Gent

4-1-3-2
1 T. Kaminski G
21 N. Asare D
23 M. Lustig D
32 I. Plastun D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
6 E. Owusu M
29 L. Depoitre F
7 R. Yaremchuk F
16 J. David F
Bench (7)
13 G. Kvilitaia
9 R. Bezus
14 A. Castro-Montes
15 M. Mohammadi
26 C. Coosemans
76 T. Derijck
19 B. Dejaegere

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,69
U
3,54
B
2,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,26
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.