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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
Anderlecht
U U S S U
3–3
Full-time
Gent
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 38%
21%
54%
Points per game
1,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
43%
54%
Both score Ø 45%
43%
46%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,9
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

10 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 7
4 Corners 5
18 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 12. · Gent 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 14 11 3 0 +28 36
2 Standard 15 10 3 2 +22 33
3 Charleroi 14 8 3 3 +10 27
4 Genk 15 8 3 4 +9 27
5 Mechelen 15 8 3 4 +5 27
6 Antwerp 13 7 3 3 +11 24
7 Gent 13 7 3 3 +11 24
8 Waregem 14 5 5 4 +4 20
9 Mouscron 13 4 5 4 +0 17
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 13 4 5 4 +0 17
11 St Truiden 15 4 5 6 -10 17
12 Anderlecht 14 3 6 5 -1 15
13 Kortrijk 14 4 2 8 -2 14
14 Eupen 15 3 5 7 -16 14
15 Oostende 14 3 2 9 -13 11
16 Cercle Brugge 15 2 2 11 -22 8
17 Waasland-Beveren 13 1 4 8 -18 7
18 Beveren 13 1 4 8 -18 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Gent
1–0 Y. Verschaeren
E. Cobbaut
17′
24′
L. Depoitre 1–1
V. Odjidja-Ofoe
Half-time 1–1
57′
🟨 L. Depoitre
61′
🔁 R. Bezus
↦ J. David
2–1 K. Roofe
68′
69′
🔁 A. Castro-Montes
↦ M. Lustig
3–1 K. Roofe
70′
72′
🔁 J. Dompé
↦ B. Dejaegere
P. Žulj 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
76′
A. Lokonga 🟨
78′
84′
R. Yaremchuk 3–2
J. Doku 🔁
↦ A. Saelemaekers
85′
86′
🟨 I. Plastun
94′
I. Plastun 3–3
J. Dompé
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-3-3
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
32 D. Luckassen D
22 E. Cobbaut D
56 A. Saelemaekers D
10 M. Vlap M
50 S. Dewaele M
48 A. Lokonga F
51 Y. Verschaeren M
39 E. Kayembe M
55 M. Kana D
93 K. Roofe F
Bench (7)
23 P. Žulj
49 J. Doku
6 A. Chipciu
54 K. Sardella
24 I. Thelin
16 T. Didillon
17 L. Adžić

Coach: F. Vercauteren

Gent

4-4-2
1 T. Kaminski G
21 N. Asare D
23 M. Lustig D
32 I. Plastun D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
19 B. Dejaegere M
6 E. Owusu M
29 L. Depoitre F
7 R. Yaremchuk F
16 J. David F
Bench (7)
9 R. Bezus
14 A. Castro-Montes
11 J. Dompé
28 D. Bronn
15 M. Mohammadi
13 G. Kvilitaia
26 C. Coosemans

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,72
U ✓
3,51
B
2,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,15
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.