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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Genk
S T S U T
0–2
Full-time
Gent
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 52%
50%
53%
Points per game
1,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
63%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
56%
53%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,1
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 7. · Gent 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 16 12 3 1 +30 39
2 Standard 16 10 3 3 +20 33
3 Charleroi 16 9 4 3 +11 31
4 Gent 15 8 4 3 +13 28
5 Mechelen 16 8 4 4 +5 28
6 Antwerp 16 8 3 5 +8 27
7 Genk 16 8 3 5 +7 27
8 Waregem 17 7 5 5 +5 26
9 Anderlecht 17 5 7 5 +1 22
10 Mouscron 15 5 6 4 +2 21
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 15 5 6 4 +2 21
12 St Truiden 17 5 5 7 -10 20
13 Eupen 17 4 5 8 -15 17
14 Kortrijk 17 4 2 11 -9 14
15 Oostende 17 3 4 10 -14 13
16 Cercle Brugge 17 3 2 12 -22 11
17 Waasland-Beveren 15 2 4 9 -17 10
18 Beveren 15 2 4 9 -17 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Gent
2′
L. Depoitre 0–1
Half-time 0–2
47′
J. David 0–2
R. Yaremchuk
Carlos Cuesta 🟨
52′
T. Bongonda 🔁
↦ C. Cuesta
54′
55′
🔁 B. Dejaegere
↦ R. Bezus
J. Ito 🔁
↦ P. Hrošovský
63′
Bryan Heynen 🟨
66′
Sébastien Dewaest 🟨
71′
D. Ndongala 🔁
↦ P. Onuachu
77′
82′
🔁 G. Kvilitaia
↦ R. Yaremchuk
92′
🔁 D. Mbayo
↦ L. Depoitre
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Genk

3-4-3
28 G. Coucke G
6 S. Dewaest D
2 C. De Norre D
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
31 J. Mæhle M
17 P. Hrošovský M
25 S. Berge M
8 B. Heynen M
10 M. Samatta F
18 P. Onuachu F
Bench (7)
27 T. Bongonda
7 J. Ito
77 D. Ndongala
23 I. Hagi
26 M. Vandevoordt
4 D. Wouters
19 J. Piotrowski

Coach: F. Mazzù

Gent

4-3-1-2
1 T. Kaminski G
32 I. Plastun D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
15 M. Mohammadi D
14 A. Castro-Montes M
24 S. Kums M
9 R. Bezus M
6 E. Owusu M
29 L. Depoitre F
7 R. Yaremchuk F
16 J. David F
Bench (7)
19 B. Dejaegere
13 G. Kvilitaia
18 D. Mbayo
76 T. Derijck
21 N. Asare
26 C. Coosemans
23 M. Lustig

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U
3,50
B ✓
2,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,30
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.