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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Antwerp
S U S T U
1–2
Full-time
Gent
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 56%
61%
50%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
54%
75%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
68%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Antwerp 3. · Gent 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 28 18 6 4 +33 60
2 Club Brugge 28 17 5 6 +29 56
3 Antwerp 28 17 3 8 +8 54
4 Standard 28 15 6 7 +18 51
5 St Truiden 30 12 11 7 +11 47
6 Gent 28 14 3 11 +12 45
7 Anderlecht 28 13 6 9 +6 45
8 Kortrijk 30 12 7 11 +2 43
9 Charleroi 30 12 6 12 +0 42
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 11 7 12 +0 40
11 Waregem 30 8 9 13 -11 33
12 Eupen 30 10 2 18 -23 32
13 Cercle Brugge 30 7 7 16 -24 28
14 Beveren 30 5 12 13 -13 27
15 Oostende 30 6 9 15 -23 27
16 Lokeren 30 5 5 20 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Gent
0–1 Dylan Bronn
own goal
38′
45′
Jonathan Christian David 0–2
Half-time 0–2
Simen Juklerød 🔁
↦ Dino Arslanagic
46′
Dieumerci Mbokani 🟨
58′
71′
🟨 Dylan Bronn
David Simão 🔁
↦ Lior Refaelov
71′
75′
🔁 Roman Yaremchuk
↦ Giorgi Kvilitaia
Jonathan Bolingi 🔁
↦ Amara Baby
78′
78′
🔁 Roman Bezus
↦ Jonathan Christian David
89′
🟨 Dylan Bronn
89′
🟥 Dylan Bronn
Jelle Van Damme 🟨
90′
90′
Alexander Sørloth 0–3
90′
🔁 Sigurd Rosted
↦ Roman Bezus
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-3-3
1 Sinan Bolat G
2 Matheus Borges D
4 Daniel Opare D
15 Dino Arslanagic D
37 Jelle Van Damme D
38 Faris Haroun M
23 Omar Govea M
14 Amara Baby M
11 Lior Refaelov M
70 Dieumerci Mbokani F
20 Didier Lamkel Ze F
Bench (7)
39 Jens Teunckens
6 Simen Juklerød
60 Sambou Yatabare
8 David Simão
10 Geoffry Hairemans
8 Ivo Rodrigues
9 Jonathan Bolingi

Gent

4-3-3
1 Thomas Kaminski G
2 Arnaud Souquet D
5 Igor Plastun D
21 Nana Asare D
28 Dylan Bronn D
44 Anderson Esiti M
8 Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe M
6 Birger Verstraete M
13 Giorgi Kvilitaia F
10 Alexander Sørloth F
16 Jonathan Christian David F
Bench (7)
20 Yannick Thoelen
4 Sigurd Rosted
29 Thibault De Smet
18 Roman Bezus
3 Eric Smith
17 Roman Yaremchuk
32 Philip Azango

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.