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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Mechelen
S T T U T
1–0
Full-time
Oostende
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 34%
43%
24%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
71%
62%
Both score Ø 65%
62%
67%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
7 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
6 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 8. · Oostende 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 21 17 3 1 +38 54
2 Charleroi 21 13 5 3 +20 44
3 Antwerp 22 13 4 5 +19 43
4 Standard 22 12 6 4 +21 42
5 Gent 21 11 5 5 +17 38
6 Genk 23 11 5 7 +11 38
7 Waregem 21 10 5 6 +10 35
8 Mechelen 21 9 5 7 +0 32
9 Mouscron 19 6 8 5 +2 26
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 19 6 8 5 +2 26
11 Anderlecht 21 5 10 6 +0 25
12 St Truiden 21 6 5 10 -16 23
13 Eupen 21 5 5 11 -17 20
14 Oostende 21 5 4 12 -15 19
15 Kortrijk 22 4 4 14 -13 16
16 Cercle Brugge 22 3 4 15 -27 13
17 Waasland-Beveren 19 2 5 12 -26 11
18 Beveren 19 2 5 12 -26 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Oostende
36′
🔁 I. Sylla
↦ J. Akpala
Jordi Vanlerberghe 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
Lucas Bijker 🟨
58′
63′
🔁 K. Vandendriessche
↦ R. Vargas
I. de Camargo 🔁
↦ W. Togui
66′
R. Schoofs 🔁
↦ A. Swinkels
67′
1–0 N. Storm
J. Van Damme
70′
77′
🔁 I. Boonen
↦ Renato Neto
G. Hairemans 🔁
↦ O. Kaya
78′
Gustav Engvall 🟨
83′
83′
🟨 Andrew Hjulsager
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
15 Y. Thoelen G
5 A. Swinkels D
3 L. Bijker D
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
2 J. Van Cleemput D
8 O. Kaya M
13 J. Van Damme M
11 N. Storm F
20 G. Engvall F
9 W. Togui F
Bench (7)
10 I. de Camargo
16 R. Schoofs
7 G. Hairemans
31 D. Vanzeir
21 C. Tainmont
22 A. Corryn
1 B. Castro

Coach: W. Vrancken

Oostende

4-2-3-1
1 F. Ondoa G
5 G. Milović D
4 W. Faes D
22 L. Ndenbe D
16 R. Vargas M
10 Renato Neto M
17 A. Hjulsager M
25 J. Bataille M
14 A. Palaversa M
15 J. Akpala F
7 F. Sakala F
Bench (7)
24 I. Sylla
26 K. Vandendriessche
11 I. Boonen
19 Y. Sané
28 W. Dutoît
20 M. Jonckheere
12 E. Banda

Coach: K. Ingebrigtsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,70
U
3,99
B
4,43
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.