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Pro League
Referee: Gumienny
Oostende
S S T S T
2–0
Full-time
Mechelen
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
3,5
1,7
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 15/24 matches
Win Ø 53%
60%
46%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
87%
42%
Both score Ø 55%
67%
42%
Average goals
3,5
2,4
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3 Corners 8
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oostende 8. · Mechelen 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 17 12 3 2 +16 39
2 Club Brugge 16 12 2 2 +27 38
3 Mechelen 24 11 5 8 +4 38
4 Anderlecht 17 11 4 2 +26 37
5 Genk 24 11 4 9 -1 37
6 Standard 25 9 9 7 +9 36
7 Kortrijk 25 8 6 11 -11 30
8 Oostende 15 9 2 4 +13 29
9 Gent 15 8 3 4 +8 27
10 Charleroi 15 7 5 3 +4 26
11 St Truiden 24 7 5 12 -6 26
12 Lokeren 25 6 8 11 -7 26
13 Beveren 24 5 8 11 -12 23
14 Eupen 25 5 6 14 -24 21
15 Westerlo 24 4 7 13 -23 19
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 25 5 3 17 -23 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oostende Mechelen
0–1 J. Vanlerberghe
own goal
19′
Knowledge Musona 🟨
23′
26′
🟨 Yohan Croizet
Bruno Godeau 🟨
41′
Michiel Jonckheere 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–1
49′
🔁 T. Matthys
↦ Chen Xavier
58′
🔁 D. Kolovos
↦ G. Claes
Knowledge Musona 🟨
62′
Knowledge Musona 🟥
62′
71′
🔁 I. Osaguona
↦ Y. Croizet
Ž. Tomašević 🔁
↦ F. Berrier
73′
H. Özkan 🔁
↦ Y. El Ghanassy
74′
J. Akpala 🔁
↦ L. Dimata
79′
1–1 B. Godeau
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Oostende

28 W. Dutoît G
18 D. Rozehnal D
44 A. Milić D
31 B. Godeau D
10 F. Berrier M
15 A. Jali M
20 M. Jonckheere M
77 A. Marušić M
8 Y. El Ghanassy M
11 K. Musona F
19 L. Dimata F
Bench (7)
33 Ž. Tomašević
36 H. Özkan
17 J. Akpala
4 F. Antunes
12 D. Ovono
14 N. Pedersen
55 Fernando Canesin

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Mechelen

26 C. Coosemans G
14 Chen Xavier
4 S. De Witte
2 L. Paulussen D
30 J. Vanlerberghe F
16 A. Bjelica F
3 A. El Messaoudi D
11 M. Rits M
77 G. Claes M
10 Y. Croizet M
99 N. Verdier M
Bench (7)
7 T. Matthys
17 D. Kolovos
12 I. Osaguona
5 U. Vitas
15 E. Cocalić
49 A. Moris
55 Ž. Filipović

Coach: Y. Ferrera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.