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Pro League
Referee: Jasper Vergoote
Oostende
T T T T U
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 16/14 matches
Win Ø 28%
19%
36%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
69%
57%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3 Corners 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oostende 15. · Royal Excel Mouscron 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 15 12 3 0 +31 39
2 Standard 16 10 3 3 +20 33
3 Charleroi 16 9 4 3 +11 31
4 Gent 15 8 4 3 +13 28
5 Mechelen 16 8 4 4 +5 28
6 Genk 16 8 3 5 +7 27
7 Waregem 17 7 5 5 +5 26
8 Antwerp 15 7 3 5 +7 24
9 Anderlecht 17 5 7 5 +1 22
10 Mouscron 15 5 6 4 +2 21
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 14 5 5 4 +2 20
12 St Truiden 17 5 5 7 -10 20
13 Eupen 17 4 5 8 -15 17
14 Kortrijk 17 4 2 11 -9 14
15 Oostende 16 3 3 10 -14 12
16 Cercle Brugge 17 3 2 12 -22 11
17 Waasland-Beveren 15 2 4 9 -17 10
18 Beveren 15 2 4 9 -17 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oostende Royal Excel Mouscron
1–0 F. Sakala
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Pietrzak
↦ Aleix García
49′
🟨 Bruno Godeau
66′
🔁 S. Perica
↦ C. Omoigui
66′
S. Perica 1–1
J. Osabutey
2–1 A. Skúlason
76′
86′
🔁 S. Allagui
↦ D. Hočko
S. Guri 🔁
↦ I. Sylla
89′
Ari Freyr Skúlason 🟨
90′
93′
S. Perica 2–2
A. Ciranni
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Oostende

4-3-3
28 W. Dutoît G
23 A. Skúlason D
19 Y. Sané D
4 W. Faes D
20 M. Jonckheere M
26 K. Vandendriessche M
55 Fernando Canesin M
17 A. Hjulsager M
25 J. Bataille M
24 I. Sylla F
7 F. Sakala F
Bench (7)
9 S. Guri
11 I. Boonen
8 F. Marquet
1 F. Ondoa
16 R. Vargas
33 A. Tanghe
22 L. Ndenbe

Coach: K. Ingebrigtsen

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-3-3
90 V. Vasić G
33 K. Wimmer D
31 B. Godeau D
4 N. De Medina D
23 Diogo Queirós D
13 A. Ciranni D
6 D. Hočko M
24 Aleix García M
15 F. Boya M
20 C. Omoigui F
45 J. Osabutey F
Bench (7)
25 R. Pietrzak
18 S. Perica
9 S. Allagui
30 B. Van Durmen
7 F. Olinga
11 D. Mohamed
34 N. Gillekens

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jasper Vergoote · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.