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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Eupen
U S S S T
2–3
Full-time
Gent
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,8
This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 43%
29%
57%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
36%
54%
Both score Ø 52%
46%
57%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
0,9
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

8 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 9
7 Corners 3
16 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 14. · Gent 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 28 20 7 1 +44 67
2 Charleroi 29 16 9 4 +29 57
3 Gent 28 16 7 5 +28 55
4 Antwerp 28 15 7 6 +20 52
5 Standard 29 14 7 8 +18 49
6 Genk 29 14 6 9 +11 48
7 Waregem 28 12 5 11 +6 41
8 Mechelen 28 12 5 11 -3 41
9 Anderlecht 28 9 12 7 +4 39
10 St Truiden 29 10 6 13 -10 36
11 Kortrijk 29 9 5 15 -9 32
12 Mouscron 25 7 9 9 -2 30
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 25 7 9 9 -2 30
14 Eupen 28 8 6 14 -19 30
15 Oostende 29 6 4 19 -27 22
16 Waasland-Beveren 25 5 5 15 -30 20
17 Beveren 25 5 5 15 -30 20
18 Cercle Brugge 28 5 4 19 -28 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Gent
5′
J. David 0–1
1–1 S. Prevljak
D. Miličević
7′
12′
J. David 1–2
R. Bezus
2–2 D. Miličević
19′
Half-time 2–2
59′
🔁 A. Niangbo
↦ E. Owusu
68′
🔁 G. Chakvetadze
↦ G. Kvilitaia
E. Sowah Adjei 🔁
↦ S. Gnaka
70′
Knowledge Musona 🟨
75′
Omid Ebrahimi 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 B. Dejaegere
↦ R. Bezus
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ D. Miličević
80′
84′
A. Castro-Montes 2–3
G. Chakvetadze
85′
🟨 Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe
J. Bolingi 🔁
↦ S. Prevljak
85′
Jordi Amat 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Eupen

4-4-2
1 O. De Wolf G
32 A. Beck D
22 S. Blondelle D
5 Jordi Amat D
23 O. Verdon D
24 S. Gnaka D
77 D. Miličević M
26 J. Cools M
16 O. Ebrahimi M
20 K. Musona F
7 S. Prevljak F
Bench (7)
25 E. Sowah Adjei
21 Jon Bautista
19 J. Bolingi
30 R. Matthys
17 Carlos Embalo
35 L. Boris
3 M. Koch

Coach: Beñat San José

Gent

4-4-2
1 T. Kaminski G
32 I. Plastun D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
15 M. Mohammadi D
14 A. Castro-Montes D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
9 R. Bezus M
6 E. Owusu M
13 G. Kvilitaia F
16 J. David F
Bench (7)
11 A. Niangbo
10 G. Chakvetadze
19 B. Dejaegere
26 C. Coosemans
23 M. Lustig
31 B. Godeau
22 S. Marreh

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,76
U
4,18
B ✓
1,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,11
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.