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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Eupen
T S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Charleroi
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,7
This season — Pro League · 23/24 matches
Win Ø 40%
22%
58%
Points per game
0,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
39%
50%
Both score Ø 47%
48%
46%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

6 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 7
18 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 14. · Charleroi 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 23 18 4 1 +42 58
2 Charleroi 24 14 7 3 +25 49
3 Standard 26 13 6 7 +19 45
4 Antwerp 24 13 6 5 +19 45
5 Gent 23 12 6 5 +18 42
6 Genk 25 12 5 8 +10 41
7 Mechelen 25 12 5 8 +2 41
8 Waregem 23 10 5 8 +4 35
9 Anderlecht 23 6 11 6 +2 29
10 Mouscron 21 6 9 6 +1 27
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 21 6 9 6 +1 27
12 St Truiden 24 6 6 12 -18 24
13 Kortrijk 24 6 4 14 -11 22
14 Eupen 23 5 5 13 -19 20
15 Oostende 23 5 4 14 -21 19
16 Waasland-Beveren 21 4 5 12 -24 17
17 Beveren 21 4 5 12 -24 17
18 Cercle Brugge 24 4 4 16 -26 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Charleroi
5′
M. Fall 0–1
A. Gholizadeh
1–1 K. Musona
10′
Jordi Amat 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–1
50′
🟨 Massimo Bruno
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ F. Ciampichetti
67′
73′
🔁 S. Nicholson
↦ M. Fall
J. Bolingi 🔁
↦ K. Musona
77′
82′
🟨 Núrio Furtuna
83′
🔁 D. Henen
↦ M. Bruno
M. Koch 🔁
↦ D. Miličević
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Eupen

4-2-3-1
1 O. De Wolf G
32 A. Beck D
22 S. Blondelle D
5 Jordi Amat D
23 O. Verdon D
77 D. Miličević M
18 N. Schouterden M
26 J. Cools M
16 O. Ebrahimi M
20 K. Musona F
9 F. Ciampichetti F
Bench (7)
21 Jon Bautista
19 J. Bolingi
3 M. Koch
35 L. Boris
10 J. Amani
30 R. Matthys
17 Carlos Embalo

Coach: Beñat San José

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
1 N. Penneteau G
24 D. Dessoleil D
23 S. Willems D
25 Nurio Fortuna D
4 M. Busi D
44 R. Morioka M
77 M. Bruno F
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
27 M. Fall F
8 A. Gholizadeh
10 K. Rezaei F
Bench (7)
16 S. Nicholson
7 D. Henen
5 M. Diagne
17 S. Marinos
28 K. Tshiend
40 R. Descamps
22 G. Hendrickx

Coach: K. Belhocine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,24
U ✓
3,25
B
2,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.