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Pro League
Gent
S S T U S
3–1
Full-time
Mouscron
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 23/21 matches
Win Ø 41%
52%
29%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
48%
57%
Both score Ø 60%
52%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,9
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

7 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
0 Corners 5
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 5. · Mouscron 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 23 18 4 1 +42 58
2 Charleroi 25 14 8 3 +25 50
3 Standard 26 13 6 7 +19 45
4 Antwerp 24 13 6 5 +19 45
5 Gent 23 12 6 5 +18 42
6 Genk 25 12 5 8 +10 41
7 Mechelen 25 12 5 8 +2 41
8 Waregem 23 10 5 8 +4 35
9 Anderlecht 23 6 11 6 +2 29
10 Mouscron 21 6 9 6 +1 27
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 21 6 9 6 +1 27
12 St Truiden 24 6 6 12 -18 24
13 Kortrijk 24 6 4 14 -11 22
14 Eupen 24 5 6 13 -19 21
15 Waasland-Beveren 22 5 5 12 -23 20
16 Oostende 24 5 4 15 -22 19
17 Beveren 21 4 5 12 -24 17
18 Cercle Brugge 24 4 4 16 -26 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Aug -19 Mouscron – Gent 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,23
U
5,89
B
11,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,37
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.