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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Gent
S S T S U
2–0
Full-time
Eupen
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 11/17 matches
Win Ø 50%
64%
35%
Points per game
2,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 81%
91%
71%
Both score Ø 71%
82%
59%
Average goals
3,6
3,2
Scored
2,4
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Gent 7. · Eupen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 18 8 7 3 +10 31
2 Antwerp 12 9 1 2 +11 28
3 Charleroi 18 8 3 7 +4 27
4 Genk 12 7 4 1 +16 25
5 Anderlecht 12 7 3 2 +10 24
6 Club Brugge 12 7 2 3 +15 23
7 Gent 11 7 2 2 +12 23
8 Kortrijk 18 6 5 7 -4 23
9 Cercle Brugge 18 6 4 8 -12 22
10 Oostende 18 6 4 8 -12 22
11 Standard 12 5 5 2 +8 20
12 Eupen 17 6 1 10 -14 19
13 Waregem 18 4 5 9 -10 17
14 Beveren 18 2 8 8 -7 14
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 18 3 5 10 -11 14
16 Lokeren 18 2 5 11 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Eupen
6′
🟨 Sulayman Marreh
1–0 Sigurd Rosted
12′
29′
🟨 Sulayman Marreh
29′
🟥 Sulayman Marreh
Nana Asare 🟨
33′
Half-time 1–0
60′
🟨 Yuta Toyokawa
Stallone Limbombe 🔁
↦ Giorgi Chakvetadze
66′
Jonathan Christian David 🔁
↦ Anderson Esiti
67′
73′
🔁 Eric Ocansey
↦ Cheick Keita
74′
🔁 Nils Schouterden
↦ Mamadou Fall
2–0 Dylan Bronn
78′
Birger Verstraete 🟨
84′
Taiwo Awoniyi 🔁
↦ Roman Yaremchuk
87′
87′
🔁 Samuel Essende
↦ Yuta Toyokawa
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Gent

4-3-3
91 Lovre Kalinić G
2 Arnaud Souquet D
28 Dylan Bronn D
4 Sigurd Rosted D
21 Nana Asare D
44 Anderson Esiti M
6 Birger Verstraete M
8 Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe M
19 Brecht Dejaegere M
17 Roman Yaremchuk F
7 Giorgi Chakvetadze M
Bench (7)
20 Yannick Thoelen
29 Thibault De Smet
5 Igor Plastun
23 Franko Andrijašević
9 Stallone Limbombe
18 Taiwo Awoniyi
16 Jonathan Christian David

Coach: J. Thorup

Eupen

4-2-3-1
1 Hendrik Van Crombrugge G
24 Silas Gnaka D
22 Siebe Blondelle D
26 Morteza Pouraliganji D
3 Cheick Keita D
15 Sulayman Marreh M
10 Luis Garcia F
70 Mamadou Fall F
14 Alessio Castro-Montes M
77 Danijel Miličević M
20 Yuta Toyokawa F
Bench (9)
30 Babacar Niasse Mbaye
44 Xavier Molina
4 Jordan Lotiès
5 Diawandou Diagne
25 Rocky Bushiri Kiranga
18 Nils Schouterden
11 Megan Laurent
23 Samuel Essende
28 Eric Ocansey

Coach: C. Makélélé

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.