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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
1–3
Full-time
Charleroi
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14. · Charleroi 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 Mechelen 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Waregem 4 2 0 2 +3 6
4 Beerschot VA 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Charleroi 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Anderlecht 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Genk 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Kortrijk 4 1 1 2 -3 4
9 Club Brugge 2 1 0 1 +3 3
10 Cercle Brugge 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 St Truiden 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Waasland-Beveren 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Beveren 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Antwerp 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Eupen 3 0 2 1 -4 2
17 Mouscron 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Gent 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Oostende 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Charleroi
6′
D. Dessoleil 0–1
R. Morioka
1–1 X. Mercier
K. Sowah
34′
Half-time 1–2
49′
M. Fall 1–2
Kamal Sowah 🟨
59′
59′
🟨 Ali Gholizadeh
64′
🟥 Mamadou Fall
J. Perbet 🔁
↦ Y. Croizet
65′
69′
🟨 Ken Nkuba
O. Myny 🔁
↦ Y. Aguemon
75′
80′
K. Rezaei 1–3
A. Gholizadeh
D. Vekemans 🔁
↦ T. Vlietinck
81′
82′
🟨 Maxime Busi
82′
🔁 S. Nicholson
↦ A. Gholizadeh
89′
🔁 G. Hendrickx
↦ R. Morioka
90′
🟨 Gaetan Hendrickx
91′
🔁 I. Goranov
↦ K. Rezaei
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-4-1-1
21 D. Iversen G
23 S. Kotysch D
18 B. Bese D
15 D. Ouédraogo D
6 D. Hubert M
29 K. Malinov M
10 X. Mercier M
11 T. Vlietinck M
14 K. Sowah M
77 Y. Croizet F
7 Y. Aguemon F
Bench (7)
43 J. Perbet
22 O. Myny
32 D. Vekemans
12 S. Limbombe
90 R. Romo
28 T. Raemaekers
13 L. Patris

Coach: M. Brys

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
1 N. Penneteau G
24 D. Dessoleil D
23 S. Willems D
12 J. Kayembe F
4 M. Busi D
30 G. Gillet M
44 R. Morioka M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
27 M. Fall F
8 A. Gholizadeh F
10 K. Rezaei F
Bench (7)
16 S. Nicholson
22 G. Hendrickx
2 I. Goranov
5 M. Diagne
19 Lucas Ribeiro Costa
7 D. Henen
40 R. Descamps

Coach: K. Belhocine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,29
U
3,72
B ✓
1,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,07
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.