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Pro League
Referee: Bram Van Driessche
Genk
S S S U T
3–1
Full-time
Oostende
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
43%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
63%
71%
Both score Ø 61%
50%
71%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 9. · Oostende 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 8 6 0 2 +14 18
2 Antwerp 8 6 0 2 +11 18
3 Club Brugge 7 5 2 0 +14 17
4 Mechelen 9 4 3 2 +3 15
5 Mouscron 8 4 3 1 +3 15
6 Royal Excel Mouscron 8 4 3 1 +3 15
7 Charleroi 8 4 2 2 +5 14
8 Gent 7 4 1 2 +9 13
9 Genk 8 4 1 3 +5 13
10 St Truiden 10 3 3 4 -4 12
11 Waregem 7 3 2 2 +0 11
12 Oostende 7 3 1 3 -3 10
13 Kortrijk 9 2 2 5 -3 8
14 Anderlecht 8 1 3 4 -4 6
15 Cercle Brugge 9 2 0 7 -11 6
16 Eupen 9 0 4 5 -14 4
17 Waasland-Beveren 8 0 3 5 -14 3
18 Beveren 8 0 3 5 -14 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Oostende
Ianis Hagi 🟨
7′
0–1 R. Vargas
own goal
16′
32′
I. Sylla 0–2
A. Skúlason
1–2 P. Onuachu
J. Mæhle
44′
Half-time 1–2
66′
🔁 R. D'Haese
↦ R. Vargas
B. Heynen 🔁
↦ P. Onuachu
70′
71′
🔁 M. Jonckheere
↦ F. Marquet
D. Ndongala 🔁
↦ I. Hagi
74′
75′
🟨 Idrissa Sylla
82′
🟨 Kevin Vandendriessche
Patrik Hrošovský 🟨
87′
2–2 S. Berge
J. Ito
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
28 G. Coucke G
21 J. Uronen D
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
31 J. Mæhle M
17 P. Hrošovský M
23 I. Hagi M
25 S. Berge M
10 M. Samatta F
18 P. Onuachu F
7 J. Ito
Bench (7)
8 B. Heynen
77 D. Ndongala
2 C. De Norre
26 M. Vandevoordt
4 D. Wouters
6 S. Dewaest
15 S. Odey

Coach: F. Mazzù

Oostende

3-5-2
28 W. Dutoît G
23 A. Skúlason D
5 G. Milović D
4 W. Faes D
16 R. Vargas M
26 K. Vandendriessche M
55 Fernando Canesin M
8 F. Marquet M
25 J. Bataille M
24 I. Sylla F
7 F. Sakala F
Bench (7)
29 R. D'Haese
20 M. Jonckheere
19 Y. Sané
1 F. Ondoa
9 S. Guri
11 I. Boonen
27 B. Capon

Coach: K. Ingebrigtsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,34
U
5,17
B
8,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,44
U2,5
2,70
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bram Van Driessche · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.