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Pro League

Referee: B Put

Mechelen

T S T T U

3–3

Full-time

Charleroi

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

This season — Pro League · 9/11 matches

Win Ø 49%

33%

64%

Points per game

1,2

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

67%

45%

Both score Ø 61%

67%

55%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

48% Possession 52%

20 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 15. · Charleroi 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beerschot VA	12	8	0	4	+4	24
2	Charleroi	11	7	2	2	+11	23
3	Anderlecht	11	5	6	0	+10	21
4	Antwerp	11	6	3	2	+7	21
5	Standard	11	6	3	2	+5	21
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	6	3	3	+2	21
7	Genk	11	5	5	1	+6	20
8	Kortrijk	13	5	3	5	+0	18
9	Club Brugge	10	5	2	3	+14	17
10	Oostende	9	4	3	2	+9	15
11	Gent	12	5	0	7	+3	15
12	Cercle Brugge	10	5	0	5	+1	15
13	Eupen	11	3	5	3	-4	14
14	Waregem	13	4	2	7	-9	14
15	Mechelen	9	3	2	4	-3	11
16	St Truiden	10	2	3	5	-8	9
17	Waasland-Beveren	9	1	1	7	-13	4
18	Beveren	9	1	1	7	-13	4
19	Mouscron	9	0	3	6	-11	3
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	0	3	6	-11	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beerschot VA	7	6	0	1	+9	18
2	Oostende	6	4	1	1	+10	13
3	Charleroi	5	4	0	1	+7	12
4	Antwerp	6	3	3	0	+5	12
5	Genk	5	3	2	0	+7	11
6	Club Brugge	6	3	1	2	+5	10
7	Anderlecht	6	2	4	0	+4	10
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	3	1	1	+1	10
9	Cercle Brugge	4	3	0	1	+6	9
10	Standard	5	2	3	0	+2	9
11	St Truiden	5	2	2	1	+2	8
12	Kortrijk	7	2	1	4	-2	7
13	Waregem	7	2	1	4	-5	7
14	Mechelen	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Eupen	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Gent	4	1	0	3	+1	3
17	Mouscron	5	0	1	4	-5	1
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	0	1	4	-5	1
19	Waasland-Beveren	5	0	1	4	-8	1
20	Beveren	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	6	4	0	2	+3	12
2	Gent	8	4	0	4	+2	12
3	Anderlecht	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Charleroi	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Kortrijk	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Eupen	7	2	4	1	+0	10
8	Antwerp	5	3	0	2	+2	9
9	Genk	6	2	3	1	-1	9
10	Club Brugge	4	2	1	1	+9	7
11	Mechelen	5	2	1	2	-3	7
12	Waregem	6	2	1	3	-4	7
13	Beerschot VA	5	2	0	3	-5	6
14	Cercle Brugge	6	2	0	4	-5	6
15	Waasland-Beveren	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Beveren	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Oostende	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Mouscron	4	0	2	2	-6	2
19	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	0	2	2	-6	2
20	St Truiden	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.