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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Eupen
S T U U U
3–1
Full-time
Charleroi
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 38%
21%
54%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
43%
46%
Both score Ø 59%
64%
54%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

6 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 3
14 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 12. · Charleroi 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 14 8 5 1 +13 29
2 Beerschot VA 14 9 1 4 +5 28
3 Charleroi 13 7 3 3 +10 24
4 Club Brugge 12 7 2 3 +17 23
5 Antwerp 13 6 5 2 +7 23
6 Standard 13 6 5 2 +5 23
7 Anderlecht 13 5 7 1 +9 22
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13 6 4 3 +2 22
9 Cercle Brugge 15 7 0 8 +1 21
10 Gent 14 6 1 7 +4 19
11 Kortrijk 15 5 4 6 -1 19
12 Eupen 14 3 8 3 -4 17
13 Waregem 15 5 2 8 -8 17
14 Oostende 13 4 4 5 +3 16
15 Mechelen 11 4 3 4 -2 15
16 St Truiden 12 2 4 6 -9 10
17 Waasland-Beveren 12 2 2 8 -13 8
18 Beveren 12 2 2 8 -13 8
19 Mouscron 11 1 3 7 -13 6
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 11 1 3 7 -13 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Charleroi
1–0 S. Prevljak
K. Musona
18′
45′
🟨 Steeven Willems
Half-time 1–0
T. Defourny 🔁
↦ O. De Wolf
46′
1–1 N. Penneteau
own goal
48′
52′
🟨 Guillaume Gillet
61′
🔁 S. Nicholson
↦ M. Ilaimaharitra
62′
🔁 S. Berahino
↦ J. Van Cleemput
A. Baby 🔁
↦ S. Prevljak
69′
70′
🟨 Ryota Morioka
2–1 J. Ngoy
E. Kayembe
75′
J. Heris 🔁
↦ Adriano
83′
84′
🔁 K. Nkuba
↦ K. Rezaei
85′
J. Kayembe 2–2
S. Nicholson
87′
🟨 Ali Gholizadeh
Jonathan Heris 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Ken Nkuba
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Eupen

3-5-2
1 O. De Wolf G
21 Adriano D
5 Jordi Amat D
23 S. Miangué M
22 E. Agbadou D
18 N. Schouterden M
8 S. Peeters M
39 E. Kayembe M
10 K. Musona F
9 S. Prevljak F
7 J. Ngoy F
Bench (7)
31 T. Defourny
11 A. Baby
28 J. Heris
32 A. Beck
17 Carlos Embalo
3 M. Koch
34 K. N’Dri

Coach: Beñat San José

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
1 N. Penneteau G
24 D. Dessoleil D
23 S. Willems D
12 J. Kayembe F
4 J. Van Cleemput D
30 G. Gillet M
44 R. Morioka M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
7 M. Fall F
8 A. Gholizadeh F
10 K. Rezaei F
Bench (7)
16 S. Nicholson
38 S. Berahino
28 K. Nkuba
5 M. Diagne
40 R. Descamps
22 G. Hendrickx
19 Lucas Ribeiro Costa

Coach: K. Belhocine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,07
U
3,43
B
2,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
2,00
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.