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Pro League
Referee: Bram Van Driessche
Mechelen
T S U S T
1–0
Full-time
Eupen
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
4,2
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
44%
81%
Both score Ø 60%
44%
75%
Average goals
2,6
4,0
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,4
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 4
5 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 22
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 10. · Eupen 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 11 9 0 2 +13 27
2 Gent 11 8 1 2 +12 25
3 Standard 16 7 4 5 +11 25
4 Kortrijk 16 6 6 4 +1 24
5 Genk 16 7 3 6 -5 24
6 Anderlecht 11 7 2 2 +16 23
7 Oostende 11 7 2 2 +15 23
8 Club Brugge 11 7 2 2 +15 23
9 Charleroi 11 6 4 1 +5 22
10 Mechelen 16 6 4 6 -2 22
11 Eupen 16 4 4 8 -12 16
12 Lokeren 16 4 3 9 -8 15
13 Beveren 16 3 5 8 -12 14
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 16 3 2 11 -18 11
15 St Truiden 16 2 4 10 -10 10
16 Westerlo 16 2 4 10 -21 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Aug -16 Eupen – Mechelen 0–2

Match report

Mechelen Eupen
16′
🟨 Luis Garcia
Yohan Croizet 🟨
33′
J. Van Cleemput 🔁
↦ Chen Xavier
38′
Half-time 0–0
T. Matthys 🔁
↦ Y. Croizet
46′
Dimitris Kolovos 🟨
52′
53′
🔁 Cases
↦ Jeffren
Elias Cobbaut 🟨
54′
64′
🟨 Ibrahima Diallo
78′
🟨 Anthony Bassey
82′
🟨 Diawandou Diagne
R. Jaadi 🔁
↦ N. Schouterden
84′
86′
🟨 Siebe Blondelle
Aleksandar Bjelica 🟨
87′
89′
🔁 G. Dufour
↦ M. Sylla
1–0 R. Jaadi
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-4-2
26 C. Coosemans G
14 Chen Xavier
15 E. Cocalić D
16 A. Bjelica F
3 A. El Messaoudi D
22 E. Cobbaut D
18 N. Schouterden M
11 M. Rits M
17 D. Kolovos M
10 Y. Croizet M
99 N. Verdier M
Bench (7)
29 J. Van Cleemput
7 T. Matthys
39 R. Jaadi
9 D. Veselinović
49 A. Moris
55 Ž. Filipović
77 G. Claes

Coach: Y. Ferrera

Eupen

4-2-3-1
1 H. Van Crombrugge G
22 S. Blondelle D
5 D. Diagné D
3 Fahad Al-Abdulrahman D
2 I. Diallo D
11 A. Bassey M
8 J. Amani M
10 Luis García F
9 Jeffren F
20 M. Sylla F
21 H. Onyekuru F
Bench (7)
91 Cases
18 G. Dufour
13 D. Mouchamps
25 G. Jamabo
27 N. Radebe
30 B. Niasse
42 P. Hackenberg

Coach: Jordi Condom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bram Van Driessche · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.