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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
Gent
S S S S U
2–2
Full-time
Kortrijk
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 17/22 matches
Win Ø 43%
41%
45%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
41%
32%
Both score Ø 46%
47%
45%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%
22 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 10. · Kortrijk 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 19 15 2 2 +32 47
2 Anderlecht 19 12 6 1 +36 42
3 Club Brugge 18 11 4 3 +13 37
4 Kortrijk 22 10 7 5 +8 37
5 Antwerp 18 10 3 5 +11 33
6 Charleroi 18 9 5 4 +12 32
7 Mechelen 19 9 2 8 +0 29
8 Genk 17 8 4 5 +14 28
9 Cercle Brugge 23 8 4 11 +1 28
10 Gent 17 7 5 5 +7 26
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 22 6 8 8 -7 26
12 Standard 21 7 5 9 -11 26
13 Oostende 22 8 2 12 -19 26
14 Eupen 22 7 4 11 -7 25
15 St Truiden 22 7 3 12 -11 24
16 Waregem 22 6 5 11 -18 23
17 Seraing 21 6 1 14 -19 19
18 Seraing United 21 6 1 14 -19 19
19 Beerschot VA 21 3 3 15 -23 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Kortrijk
8′
D. Mbayo 0–1
B. Messaoudi
28′
🟨 Tsuyoshi Watanabe
30′
🟨 Kristof D'Haene
1–1 A. Castro-Montes
44′
Half-time 1–1
Andreas Hanche-Olsen 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 S. Sissoko
↦ K. Vandendriessche
2–1 I. Mboyo
M. Samoise
52′
58′
🟨 Sambou Sissoko
68′
🔁 A. Kadri
↦ V. Torp
78′
🔁 M. Moreno
↦ B. Messaoudi
R. Bezus 🔁
↦ A. Hjulsager
79′
82′
🟨 Trent Sainsbury
I. Cissé 🔁
↦ S. Kums
86′
87′
🟨 Ante Palaversa
91′
D. Mbayo 2–2
A. Kadri
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-1-2
1 S. Bolat G
25 Núrio Fortuna D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
14 A. Castro-Montes M
24 S. Kums M
13 J. De Sart M
17 A. Hjulsager F
6 E. Owusu D
18 M. Samoise M
7 I. Mboyo F
23 Y. Malede F
Bench (6)
9 R. Bezus
16 I. Cissé
20 B. Lagae
19 G. Bruno
33 D. Roef
3 C. Opéri

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Kortrijk

4-3-3
31 M. Ilić G
5 T. Sainsbury D
30 K. D'Haene D
66 A. Radovanović D
4 T. Watanabe D
26 K. Vandendriessche M
11 M. Fixelles F
21 V. Torp M
8 A. Palaversa M
9 B. Messaoudi F
7 D. Mbayo F
Bench (6)
14 S. Sissoko
18 A. Kadri
29 M. Moreno
22 T. Bendianishvili
28 J. Delle
16 M. Deman

Coach: K. Belhocine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,41
U ✓
4,61
B
7,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,12
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Smet · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.