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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
Kortrijk
S U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Gent
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 20/18 matches
Win Ø 43%
35%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
65%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
55%
56%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

9 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
4 Corners 3
21 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Kortrijk 10. · Gent 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 21 10 6 5 +8 36
2 Genk 16 10 5 1 +19 35
3 Club Brugge 18 10 4 4 +23 34
4 Charleroi 20 10 4 6 +7 34
5 Antwerp 17 9 5 3 +13 32
6 Beerschot VA 18 10 1 7 +1 31
7 Gent 18 9 1 8 +8 28
8 Anderlecht 17 6 9 2 +9 27
9 Waregem 20 8 3 9 -5 27
10 Kortrijk 20 7 5 8 -3 26
11 Standard 17 6 6 5 +2 24
12 Eupen 18 5 9 4 -4 24
13 Cercle Brugge 20 7 0 13 -7 21
14 Oostende 16 5 4 7 +1 19
15 Mechelen 17 5 4 8 -7 19
16 Waasland-Beveren 18 5 3 10 -14 18
17 Beveren 18 5 3 10 -14 18
18 Mouscron 18 4 5 9 -13 17
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 18 4 5 9 -13 17
20 St Truiden 19 3 6 10 -11 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Gent
21′
🟥 Roman Yaremchuk
Julien De Sart 🟨
31′
Eric Ocansey 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
H. Van der Bruggen 🔁
↦ J. De Sart
46′
1–0 F. Selemani
E. Ocansey
49′
64′
🔁 L. Depoitre
↦ E. Owusu
C. Lepoint 🔁
↦ H. Guèye
75′
82′
🔁 T. Kleindienst
↦ N. Dorsch
82′
🔁 S. Marreh
↦ M. Mohammadi
Christophe Lepoint 🟨
83′
M. Jonckheere 🔁
↦ F. Selemani
85′
J. Stojanović 🔁
↦ I. Mboyo
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kortrijk

3-4-3
31 M. Ilić G
76 T. Derijck D
4 G. Dewaele D
2 P. Golubović D
3 B. Hines-Ike D
25 Y. Makarenko M
23 J. De Sart M
7 I. Mboyo F
10 F. Selemani M
51 E. Ocansey F
17 H. Guèye F
Bench (7)
14 H. Van der Bruggen
15 C. Lepoint
27 M. Jonckheere
11 J. Stojanović
1 A. Jakubech
41 Y. Van Den Bossche
20 S. Sissoko

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Gent

3-5-2
1 S. Bolat G
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
25 Núrio Fortuna D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
15 M. Mohammadi D
14 A. Castro-Montes D
9 R. Bezus M
30 N. Dorsch M
6 E. Owusu M
7 R. Yaremchuk F
20 O. Bukari F
Bench (7)
29 L. Depoitre
34 T. Kleindienst
22 S. Marreh
36 D. Arslanagić
32 I. Plastun
33 D. Roef
17 J. Botaka

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,10
U
3,52
B
2,19
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,28
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Smet · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.