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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
Kortrijk
T T S U T
1–0
Full-time
Gent
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 8/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
38%
75%
Both score Ø 57%
38%
75%
Average goals
2,4
3,8
Scored
1,4
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
7 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 9. · Gent 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 7 5 1 1 +12 16
2 Standard 9 5 1 3 -3 16
3 Oostende 9 5 0 4 -3 15
4 Genk 7 4 2 1 +6 14
5 Eupen 9 4 2 3 +4 14
6 Antwerp 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Club Brugge 7 4 2 1 +4 14
8 St. Gilloise 6 4 1 1 +8 13
9 Kortrijk 8 4 1 3 +3 13
10 Charleroi 7 2 4 1 +5 10
11 St Truiden 8 3 1 4 -3 10
12 Mechelen 8 3 1 4 -4 10
13 Seraing 8 3 0 5 -5 9
14 Seraing United 8 3 0 5 -5 9
15 Cercle Brugge 9 2 2 5 -2 8
16 Waregem 8 2 2 4 -4 8
17 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8 1 4 3 -8 7
18 Gent 4 1 1 2 +3 4
19 Beerschot VA 8 0 1 7 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Gent
1–0 F. Selemani
9′
Kevin Vandendriessche 🟨
24′
Half-time 1–0
Mathias Fixelles 🟨
60′
63′
🔁 G. Chakvetadze
↦ R. Bezus
63′
🔁 I. Mboyo
↦ M. Samoise
63′
🔁 Y. Malede
↦ Núrio Fortuna
D. Mbayo 🔁
↦ F. Selemani
64′
E. Ocansey 🔁
↦ M. Moreno
64′
Lucas Rougeaux 🟨
68′
M. Badamosi 🔁
↦ H. Guèye
73′
V. Torp 🔁
↦ M. Fixelles
73′
Dylan Mbayo 🟨
79′
79′
🟨 Elisha Owusu
M. Jonckheere 🔁
↦ L. Rougeaux
80′
80′
🔁 S. Kums
↦ E. Owusu
87′
🟨 Sinan Bolat
98′
🟨 Julien De Sart
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kortrijk

3-5-2
31 M. Ilić G
5 T. Sainsbury D
30 K. D'Haene M
6 L. Rougeaux D
2 G. Dewaele D
26 K. Vandendriessche M
11 M. Fixelles M
8 A. Palaversa M
29 M. Moreno M
10 F. Selemani F
17 H. Guèye F
Bench (7)
7 D. Mbayo
51 E. Ocansey
19 M. Badamosi
21 V. Torp
27 M. Jonckheere
28 J. Delle
23 R. Alioui

Coach: L. Elsner

Gent

3-4-1-2
1 S. Bolat G
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
25 Núrio Fortuna M
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
2 J. Okumu D
9 R. Bezus F
13 J. De Sart M
6 E. Owusu M
18 M. Samoise M
11 D. Lemajić F
34 T. Tissoudali F
Bench (7)
10 G. Chakvetadze
7 I. Mboyo
23 Y. Malede
24 S. Kums
14 A. Castro-Montes
31 B. Godeau
33 D. Roef

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,94
U
3,95
B
1,81
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,63
U2,5 ✓
2,26
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.