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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
Gent
S T U U S
3–1
Full-time
Standard
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,3
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 13/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
31%
38%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
38%
44%
Both score Ø 51%
46%
56%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
19 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 5
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 17. · Standard 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 14 11 1 2 +26 34
2 Anderlecht 14 7 6 1 +16 27
3 Club Brugge 13 7 4 2 +7 25
4 Kortrijk 17 6 7 4 +3 25
5 Genk 15 7 3 5 +10 24
6 Charleroi 14 6 5 3 +7 23
7 Antwerp 13 7 2 4 +6 23
8 Mechelen 15 7 2 6 -1 23
9 Standard 16 6 5 5 -5 23
10 Eupen 17 6 4 7 +1 22
11 St Truiden 17 6 3 8 -8 21
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 17 4 8 5 -6 20
13 Oostende 16 6 2 8 -12 20
14 Seraing 16 6 1 9 -7 19
15 Seraing United 16 6 1 9 -7 19
16 Waregem 17 4 5 8 -14 17
17 Gent 13 4 4 5 +3 16
18 Cercle Brugge 17 3 4 10 -7 13
19 Beerschot VA 17 3 3 11 -12 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Standard
11′
🟨 Jackson Muleka
1–0 T. Tissoudali
22′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 João Klauss
↦ M. Bokadi
54′
🔁 M. Lestienne
↦ S. Amallah
1–1 H. Siquet
own goal
57′
2–1 T. Tissoudali
67′
68′
A. Dønnum 2–2
N. Raskin
75′
🔁 M. Carcela-González
↦ J. Muleka
81′
🟨 Niels Nkounkou
A. Castro-Montes 🔁
↦ M. Samoise
81′
82′
🔁 D. Pavlović
↦ N. Raskin
82′
🔁 C. Fai
↦ N. Nkounkou
S. Marreh 🔁
↦ V. Odjidja-Ofoe
89′
Y. Malede 🔁
↦ T. Tissoudali
89′
A. Hjulsager 🔁
↦ E. Owusu
89′
I. Mboyo 🔁
↦ L. Depoitre
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-1-2
1 S. Bolat G
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
25 Núrio Fortuna M
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
2 J. Okumu D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe F
24 S. Kums M
6 E. Owusu M
18 M. Samoise M
29 L. Depoitre F
34 T. Tissoudali F
Bench (7)
14 A. Castro-Montes
22 S. Marreh
23 Y. Malede
17 A. Hjulsager
7 I. Mboyo
33 D. Roef
31 B. Godeau

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Standard

4-3-3
30 L. Henkinet G
6 N. Dussenne D
34 K. Laifis D
14 N. Nkounkou D
2 H. Siquet D
8 G. Cimirot M
20 M. Bokadi M
19 S. Amallah F
26 N. Raskin M
11 A. Dønnum F
17 J. Muleka F
Bench (7)
9 João Klauss
22 M. Lestienne
10 M. Carcela-González
4 D. Pavlović
21 C. Fai
5 M. Sissako
40 M. Epolo

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,54
U
4,16
B
5,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,14
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.