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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
St Truiden
S S S T S
2–0
Full-time
Waregem
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
39%
22%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
50%
61%
Both score Ø 53%
44%
61%
Average goals
2,2
3,6
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,1
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%
12 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match St Truiden 9. · Waregem 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 16 14 1 1 +31 43
2 St. Gilloise 16 13 2 1 +20 41
3 Antwerp 15 11 1 3 +14 34
4 Club Brugge 16 10 2 4 +15 32
5 Gent 15 9 2 4 +15 29
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 8 5 6 +9 29
7 Anderlecht 18 8 2 8 +8 26
8 Cercle Brugge 16 7 5 4 +4 26
9 St Truiden 18 7 5 6 -1 26
10 Charleroi 18 7 1 10 -7 22
11 Eupen 20 7 1 12 -14 22
12 Westerlo 15 6 3 6 +1 21
13 Standard 14 7 0 7 +0 21
14 Mechelen 18 5 4 9 -7 19
15 Kortrijk 19 5 3 11 -17 18
16 Oostende 19 5 3 11 -20 18
17 Waregem 18 4 4 10 -15 16
18 Seraing 18 3 2 13 -18 11
19 Seraing United 18 3 2 13 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Waregem
1–0 D. Hayashi
28′
36′
🟥 Bent Sormo
Half-time 1–0
56′
🟨 Moudou Tambedou
58′
🔁 N. Dismas
↦ A. Ndour
58′
🔁 P. Diop
↦ N. Rommens
S. Van Dessel 🔁
↦ E. Bocat
61′
2–0 G. Bruno
C. Brüls
70′
75′
🔁 C. Offor
↦ A. Sissako
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

St Truiden

3-5-2
21 D. Schmidt G
16 M. Smets D
37 T. Leistner D
22 W. Janssens D
4 D. Hashioka M
30 S. Okazaki M
27 F. Boya M
44 C. Brüls M
77 E. Bocat M
8 D. Hayashi F
91 G. Bruno F
Bench (7)
19 S. Van Dessel
14 O. Dumont
18 Fabinho
20 R. Bauer
38 F. Slegers
12 J. Coppens
32 A. Librici

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Waregem

5-3-2
25 L. Bostyn G
14 A. Ciranni D
22 B. Sørmo D
4 T. Derijck D
3 Borja López D
7 A. Fadera D
6 A. Sissako M
18 M. Tambedou M
20 N. Rommens M
93 Zinho Gano F
11 A. Ndour F
Bench (7)
26 N. Dismas
17 P. Diop
27 C. Offor
46 C. Thiam
23 Dani Ramírez
8 L. Vigen
1 S. Bossut

Coach: M. Leye

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,65
U
3,92
B
4,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.