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Pro League
Referee: C Dierick
St Truiden
T T U S T
1–2
Full-time
Waregem
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 29/30 matches
Win Ø 38%
28%
47%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
52%
67%
Both score Ø 60%
59%
60%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 15. · Waregem 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 25 17 4 4 +35 55
2 Antwerp 26 16 5 5 +17 53
3 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 13 8 9 +5 47
4 Waregem 30 14 4 12 +2 46
5 Genk 25 12 9 4 +18 45
6 Mechelen 26 13 5 8 +5 44
7 Beerschot VA 28 12 4 12 -4 40
8 Charleroi 28 11 6 11 +2 39
9 Kortrijk 30 11 6 13 -3 39
10 Anderlecht 26 8 14 4 +11 38
11 Standard 24 10 7 7 +5 37
12 Eupen 29 8 13 8 -8 37
13 Gent 26 10 6 10 +9 36
14 Oostende 24 10 5 9 +5 35
15 St Truiden 29 8 7 14 -9 31
16 Mouscron 26 6 8 12 -14 26
17 Royal Excel Mouscron 26 6 8 12 -14 26
18 Cercle Brugge 28 8 1 19 -14 25
19 Waasland-Beveren 26 5 6 15 -24 21
20 Beveren 26 5 6 15 -24 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Waregem
35′
🟨 Omar Govea
Half-time 0–1
52′
J. Dompé 0–1
I. Seck
55′
G. Bruno 0–2
O. Govea
J. Steuckers 🔁
↦ Jorge Teixeira
69′
Yuma Suzuki ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
71′
1–2 Y. Suzuki
C. Brüls
72′
74′
🔁 T. Chorý
↦ J. Vossen
80′
🟨 Ibrahima Seck
F. Colidio 🔁
↦ C. Brüls
83′
87′
🟨 Damien Marcq
90′
🔁 E. Pletinckx
↦ J. Dompé
92′
🔁 A. Colassin
↦ O. Govea
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

St Truiden

5-3-2
21 D. Schmidt G
26 Jorge Teixeira D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
3 M. Caufriez D
27 D. Lavalée D
13 L. Cacace D
44 C. Brüls M
32 C. Durkin M
16 S. De Ridder M
7 I. Mboyo F
9 Y. Suzuki F
Bench (7)
61 J. Steuckers
18 F. Colidio
90 D. Nazon
24 M. Konaté
40 J. Pius
19 S. Van Dessel
1 K. Steppe

Coach: P. Maes

Waregem

4-3-3
25 L. Bostyn G
3 O. Deschacht D
27 L. De Bock D
4 D. Opare D
33 C. Humphreys D
5 D. Marcq M
21 I. Seck M
10 O. Govea M
9 J. Vossen F
19 G. Bruno F
17 J. Dompé F
Bench (7)
15 T. Chorý
24 E. Pletinckx
53 A. Colassin
80 Y. Sylla
29 M. De Smet
1 S. Bossut
71 C. Thiam

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,06
U
3,48
B ✓
3,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Dierick · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.