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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
St Truiden
U S S S S
0–1
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
This season — Pro League · 17/14 matches
Win Ø 42%
41%
43%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
53%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
47%
57%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match St Truiden 7. · Cercle Brugge 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 14 13 1 0 +30 40
2 St. Gilloise 14 11 2 1 +16 35
3 Antwerp 15 11 1 3 +14 34
4 Club Brugge 15 10 1 4 +15 31
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 18 8 4 6 +9 28
6 Gent 14 8 2 4 +11 26
7 St Truiden 17 7 5 5 +0 26
8 Anderlecht 16 7 2 7 +9 23
9 Cercle Brugge 14 6 4 4 +3 22
10 Charleroi 17 7 1 9 -6 22
11 Westerlo 15 6 3 6 +1 21
12 Standard 13 7 0 6 +1 21
13 Mechelen 17 5 3 9 -7 18
14 Oostende 18 5 3 10 -17 18
15 Kortrijk 17 4 3 10 -14 15
16 Waregem 17 4 3 10 -15 15
17 Eupen 17 5 0 12 -16 15
18 Seraing 17 3 2 12 -17 11
19 Seraing United 17 3 2 12 -17 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Cercle Brugge
41′
🟨 Leonardo Lopes
44′
🟨 Jesper Daland
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Francis
↦ C. Vanhoutte
50′
🟨 Thibo Somers
C. Brüls 🔁
↦ G. Bruno
55′
69′
A. Ueda 0–1
K. Denkey
D. Hashioka 🔁
↦ A. Al-Dakhil
74′
A. Koita 🔁
↦ E. Bocat
74′
F. Kaya 🔁
↦ S. Okazaki
74′
S. Van Dessel 🔁
↦ F. Boya
81′
Fatih Kaya ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
83′
Fatih Kaya 🟥
84′
87′
🔁 H. Van der Bruggen
↦ D. Hotić
94′
🔁 Y. Gboho
↦ A. Ueda
95′
🟨 Leonardo Lopes
95′
🟥 Leonardo Lopes
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

St Truiden

3-5-2
21 D. Schmidt G
3 A. Al-Dakhil D
37 T. Leistner D
20 R. Bauer D
22 W. Janssens M
30 S. Okazaki M
27 F. Boya M
6 M. Konaté M
77 E. Bocat M
91 G. Bruno F
8 D. Hayashi F
Bench (7)
44 C. Brüls
4 D. Hashioka
7 A. Koita
11 F. Kaya
19 S. Van Dessel
12 J. Coppens
14 O. Dumont

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Cercle Brugge

3-4-1-2
1 R. Majecki G
5 B. Popović D
66 C. Ravych D
4 J. Daland D
34 T. Somers M
22 Leonardo Lopes M
14 C. Vanhoutte M
23 O. Deman M
10 D. Hotić F
36 A. Ueda F
9 K. Denkey F
Bench (7)
17 A. Francis
28 H. Van der Bruggen
11 Y. Gboho
8 R. Decostere
21 Warleson
7 E. Kehrer
19 D. Velkovski

Coach: M. Muslić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,44
U
3,29
B ✓
2,86
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.