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Pro League
Referee: B Put
Gent
S U T S U
1–1
Full-time
Charleroi
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 15/13 matches
Win Ø 47%
47%
46%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
40%
38%
Both score Ø 36%
40%
31%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
0,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,54 xG 0,83
60% Possession 40%
8 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 5. · Charleroi 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 13 9 3 1 +20 +13.3 30
2 Genk 13 9 2 2 +12 +15.4 29
3 Antwerp 13 8 4 1 +19 +4.1 28
4 Anderlecht 14 7 5 2 +16 +9.0 26
5 Gent 15 7 5 3 +14 +0.6 26
6 St. Gilloise 13 5 6 2 +6 +8.2 21
7 Dender 15 5 6 4 -1 -3.8 21
8 Charleroi 13 6 2 5 +2 +2.7 20
9 Cercle Brugge 16 5 4 7 -11 -6.7 19
10 Standard 13 5 3 5 -8 -7.5 18
11 St Truiden 17 4 4 9 -18 -7.7 16
12 Mechelen 14 4 3 7 -1 -3.1 15
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14 2 7 5 -4 +1.9 13
14 Westerlo 14 3 3 8 -4 -1.8 12
15 Kortrijk 17 3 1 13 -25 -11.6 10
16 Beerschot VA 16 1 6 9 -17 -13.0 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Charleroi
12′
I. Mbenza 0–1
Archie Brown 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 Žan Rogelj
S. Kums 🔁
↦ A. Hjulsager
61′
O. Gandelman 🔁
↦ P. Gerkens
62′
S. Mitrović 🔁
↦ J. Torunarigha
70′
F. Surdez 🔁
↦ A. Guðjohnsen
70′
1–1 S. Kums
M. Sonko
72′
73′
🔁 M. Nzita
↦ I. Mbenza
78′
🔁 Oday Dabbagh
↦ N. Štulić
91′
🔁 Q. Benaets
↦ D. Heymans
H. Gambor 🔁
↦ S. Mitrović
92′
92′
🔁 É. Camara
↦ J. Pétris
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Gent

4-2-3-1
33 D. Roef G
18 M. Samoise D
4 T. Watanabe D
23 J. Torunarigha D
3 A. Brown D
15 A. Ito M
16 M. Delorge M
11 M. Sonko M
8 P. Gerkens M
17 A. Hjulsager M
9 A. Guðjohnsen F
Bench (9)
24 S. Kums
6 O. Gandelman
13 S. Mitrović
19 F. Surdez
12 H. Gambor
29 Hélio Varela
27 T. De Vlieger
30 C. De Schrevel
5 Leonardo Lopes

Coach: W. Vrancken

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
30 M. Koné G
29 Ž. Rogelj D
95 C. Keita D
4 Aiham Ousou D
15 V. Dragsnes D
22 Y. Titraoui M
6 A. Zorgane M
98 J. Pétris M
18 D. Heymans M
7 I. Mbenza M
19 N. Štulić F
Bench (9)
24 M. Nzita
9 Oday Dabbagh
43 Q. Benaets
5 É. Camara
55 M. Delavallée
28 R. Asante
70 A. Flips
21 S. Andreou
56 A. Boukamir

Coach: R. De Mil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U ✓
3,45
B
3,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.