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Pro League

Referee: B Van Driessche

Genk

S S T S S

3–0

Full-time

Charleroi

S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,2

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 56%

67%

44%

Points per game

2,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

78%

22%

Both score Ø 45%

67%

22%

Average goals

3,6

1,8

Scored

2,1

1,1

Conceded

1,4

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,21 xG 1,18

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 4. · Charleroi 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Antwerp	10	7	2	1	+17	+4.8	23
2	Club Brugge	10	6	3	1	+15	+9.2	21
3	Anderlecht	10	5	4	1	+14	+7.7	19
4	Genk	9	6	1	2	+6	+13.0	19
5	Gent	10	5	2	3	+11	-1.5	17
6	Charleroi	9	4	2	3	+4	+3.3	14
7	Dender	10	3	5	2	+0	-2.2	14
8	Standard	10	4	2	4	-8	-5.8	14
9	St. Gilloise	9	3	4	2	+3	+5.9	13
10	St Truiden	12	3	3	6	-14	-4.5	12
11	Mechelen	9	3	2	4	+0	-1.0	11
12	Cercle Brugge	12	3	2	7	-13	-9.4	11
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	1	5	3	-3	+2.1	8
14	Westerlo	9	2	2	5	-4	-1.6	8
15	Beerschot VA	11	1	4	6	-11	-11.7	7
16	Kortrijk	11	2	1	8	-17	-8.3	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Antwerp	6	4	1	1	+14	+5.5	13
2	Genk	5	4	1	0	+7	+6.4	13
3	Standard	5	4	1	0	+4	-0.6	13
4	Gent	5	4	0	1	+12	+3.3	12
5	Anderlecht	6	3	3	0	+8	+3.5	12
6	St Truiden	7	3	3	1	+1	+1.3	12
7	Charleroi	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.9	10
8	St. Gilloise	4	3	0	1	+4	+5.0	9
9	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+10	+6.4	7
10	Mechelen	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.3	7
11	Westerlo	5	2	1	2	+2	+4.6	7
12	Cercle Brugge	5	2	1	2	-3	-2.4	7
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	1	3	1	+1	+2.2	6
14	Beerschot VA	6	1	3	2	-1	-4.9	6
15	Kortrijk	5	2	0	3	-3	-1.4	6
16	Dender	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	7	4	2	1	+5	+2.8	14
2	Antwerp	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.7	10
3	Dender	6	2	3	1	-2	-2.8	9
4	Anderlecht	4	2	1	1	+6	+4.1	7
5	Genk	4	2	0	2	-1	+6.6	6
6	Gent	5	1	2	2	-1	-4.8	5
7	Charleroi	4	1	1	2	+0	-0.6	4
8	St. Gilloise	5	0	4	1	-1	+0.9	4
9	Mechelen	5	1	1	3	-3	-2.3	4
10	Cercle Brugge	7	1	1	5	-10	-7.0	4
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.1	2
12	Westerlo	4	0	1	3	-6	-6.2	1
13	Beerschot VA	5	0	1	4	-10	-6.8	1
14	Standard	5	0	1	4	-12	-5.2	1
15	Kortrijk	6	0	1	5	-14	-7.0	1
16	St Truiden	5	0	0	5	-15	-5.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.