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Conference League
Referee: A Ghaltakchyan
Gent
S T U T S
3–0
Full-time
TSC Backa Topola
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent TSC Backa Topola
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 10/4 matches
Win Ø 48%
70%
25%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
60%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
1,9
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

3,04 xG 1,16
48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
5 Offside 5
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Gent TSC Backa Topola
1–0 M. Dean ⚽
8′
2–0 O. Gandelman ⚽
A. Brown
13′
3–0 F. Surdez ⚽
20′
Omri Gandelman ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
34′
35′
🟨 Ifet Đakovac
Half-time 3–0
47′
🟨 Petar Stanić
62′
🔁 P. Mboungou
↦ M. Banjac
Hélio Varela 🔁
↦ F. Surdez
64′
H. Gambor 🔁
↦ Tiago Araújo
64′
74′
🔁 V. Krstić
↦ Stefan Jovanović
74′
🔁 B. Sós
↦ A. Ćirković
T. De Vlieger 🔁
↦ M. Sonko
75′
S. Kums 🔁
↦ A. Ito
75′
82′
🔁 M. Lazetić
↦ M. Pantović
82′
🔁 Đ. Gordić
↦ P. Stanić
A. Guðjohnsen 🔁
↦ M. Dean
84′
Hugo Gambor 🟨
92′
94′
🟨 Marko Lazetić
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Gent

4-3-3
33 D. Roef G
20 Tiago Araújo D
4 T. Watanabe D
13 S. Mitrović D
3 A. Brown D
15 A. Ito M
6 O. Gandelman M
16 M. Delorge M
11 M. Sonko F
21 M. Dean F
19 F. Surdez F
Bench (9)
29 Hélio Varela
12 H. Gambor
27 T. De Vlieger
24 S. Kums
9 A. Guðjohnsen
8 P. Gerkens
35 G. De Meyer
1 D. Schmidt
23 J. Torunarigha

Coach: W. Vrancken

TSC Backa Topola

4-1-4-1
12 V. Ilić G
22 Stefan Jovanović D
25 M. Đorđević D
5 D. Stevanović D
30 N. Petrović D
7 M. Rádin M
18 M. Banjac M
35 I. Đakovac M
14 P. Stanić M
10 A. Ćirković M
27 M. Pantović F
Bench (10)
29 P. Mboungou
4 V. Krstić
88 B. Sós
9 M. Lazetić
24 Đ. Gordić
11 I. Milosavljević
6 A. Pejić
1 N. Simić
23 N. Jorgić
31 L. Capan

Coach: J. Damjanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.