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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Ath Bilbao

S S S T U

1–0

Full-time

Vallecano

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 34%

45%

23%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

58%

71%

Both score Ø 57%

48%

65%

Average goals

2,9

3,4

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

14 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

0 Corners 5

2 Offside 7

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 6. · Vallecano 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	32	24	4	4	+60	76
2	Ath Madrid	32	23	4	5	+38	73
3	Real Madrid	32	22	6	4	+64	72
4	Villarreal	32	17	9	6	+15	60
5	Celta	32	15	7	10	-7	52
6	Ath Bilbao	31	14	6	11	+9	48
7	Sevilla	32	13	9	10	+6	48
8	Malaga	32	10	11	11	+1	41
9	Sociedad	32	11	8	13	-2	41
10	Eibar	32	10	8	14	-5	38
11	Valencia	32	9	10	13	-3	37
12	La Coruna	31	7	16	8	-4	37
13	Betis	32	9	10	13	-16	37
14	Las Palmas	31	10	6	15	-9	36
15	Espanol	32	10	6	16	-27	36
16	Vallecano	31	7	10	14	-20	31
17	Granada	32	7	9	16	-24	30
18	Sp Gijon	32	7	7	18	-21	28
19	Getafe	32	7	7	18	-28	28
20	Levante	32	6	7	19	-27	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	14	1	2	+50	43
2	Barcelona	16	14	1	1	+43	43
3	Sevilla	16	13	0	3	+18	39
4	Villarreal	17	12	3	2	+16	39
5	Ath Madrid	15	11	3	1	+19	36
6	Ath Bilbao	15	8	4	3	+15	28
7	Celta	16	7	5	4	+2	26
8	Espanol	16	7	4	5	-9	25
9	Las Palmas	16	7	3	6	+4	24
10	Eibar	16	7	3	6	+3	24
11	Getafe	16	6	5	5	+7	23
12	Malaga	15	6	5	4	+7	23
13	Sociedad	16	6	5	5	+3	23
14	Valencia	16	5	7	4	+1	22
15	Vallecano	16	6	4	6	-2	22
16	La Coruna	15	4	8	3	+5	20
17	Levante	16	5	4	7	-5	19
18	Betis	16	4	6	6	-6	18
19	Granada	16	4	5	7	-7	17
20	Sp Gijon	16	4	4	8	-5	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	17	12	1	4	+19	37
2	Barcelona	16	10	3	3	+17	33
3	Real Madrid	15	8	5	2	+14	29
4	Celta	16	8	2	6	-9	26
5	Villarreal	15	5	6	4	-1	21
6	Ath Bilbao	16	6	2	8	-6	20
7	Betis	16	5	4	7	-10	19
8	Sociedad	16	5	3	8	-5	18
9	Malaga	17	4	6	7	-6	18
10	La Coruna	16	3	8	5	-9	17
11	Valencia	16	4	3	9	-4	15
12	Eibar	16	3	5	8	-8	14
13	Granada	16	3	4	9	-17	13
14	Las Palmas	15	3	3	9	-13	12
15	Sp Gijon	16	3	3	10	-16	12
16	Espanol	16	3	2	11	-18	11
17	Sevilla	16	0	9	7	-12	9
18	Vallecano	15	1	6	8	-18	9
19	Levante	16	1	3	12	-22	6
20	Getafe	16	1	2	13	-35	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.