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Eredivisie

Referee: Kevin Blom

Heerenveen

S T U T S

4–2

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

4,0

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 41%

34%

48%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

59%

66%

Both score Ø 61%

62%

59%

Average goals

3,2

3,4

Scored

1,3

1,9

Conceded

1,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 1

1 Offside 7

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 12. · AZ Alkmaar 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	30	23	5	2	+54	74
2	PSV Eindhoven	30	22	6	2	+45	72
3	Feyenoord	29	16	4	9	+19	52
4	AZ Alkmaar	29	14	5	10	+9	47
5	Vitesse	30	12	8	10	+21	44
6	Zwolle	28	13	5	10	+8	44
7	Heracles	27	13	5	9	+0	44
8	Nijmegen	29	12	7	10	+0	43
9	Den Haag	30	9	11	10	-2	38
10	Twente	29	11	5	13	-12	38
11	Groningen	28	10	7	11	-11	37
12	Heerenveen	29	10	7	12	-14	37
13	Utrecht	25	10	6	9	+5	36
14	Roda	30	7	10	13	-17	31
15	Willem II	30	5	10	15	-16	25
16	Excelsior	30	6	7	17	-26	25
17	De Graafschap	29	4	6	19	-24	18
18	Cambuur	30	3	8	19	-39	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+33	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	3	1	+19	36
3	Feyenoord	15	10	2	3	+18	32
4	Nijmegen	15	10	2	3	+8	32
5	Zwolle	14	9	2	3	+9	29
6	AZ Alkmaar	15	8	2	5	+7	26
7	Twente	14	8	2	4	+5	26
8	Heracles	13	8	2	3	+4	26
9	Vitesse	15	7	3	5	+14	24
10	Groningen	14	7	3	4	+2	24
11	Utrecht	12	6	4	2	+5	22
12	Den Haag	15	4	7	4	-1	19
13	Heerenveen	14	5	4	5	-4	19
14	Willem II	15	3	6	6	-4	15
15	Roda	15	3	6	6	-6	15
16	Excelsior	15	4	3	8	-10	15
17	De Graafschap	15	3	4	8	-6	13
18	Cambuur	15	2	4	9	-18	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	3	1	+26	36
2	Ajax	15	11	3	1	+21	36
3	AZ Alkmaar	14	6	3	5	+2	21
4	Vitesse	15	5	5	5	+7	20
5	Feyenoord	14	6	2	6	+1	20
6	Den Haag	15	5	4	6	-1	19
7	Heracles	14	5	3	6	-4	18
8	Heerenveen	15	5	3	7	-10	18
9	Roda	15	4	4	7	-11	16
10	Zwolle	14	4	3	7	-1	15
11	Utrecht	13	4	2	7	+0	14
12	Groningen	14	3	4	7	-13	13
13	Twente	15	3	3	9	-17	12
14	Nijmegen	14	2	5	7	-8	11
15	Willem II	15	2	4	9	-12	10
16	Excelsior	15	2	4	9	-16	10
17	Cambuur	15	1	4	10	-21	7
18	De Graafschap	14	1	2	11	-18	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.