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Pro League
Genk
S T S U T
5–1
Full-time
Charleroi
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,8
This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 49%
52%
45%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
59%
59%
Both score Ø 56%
52%
59%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Genk 4. · Charleroi 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 30 23 2 5 +53 71
2 Anderlecht 30 17 7 6 +13 58
3 Gent 30 16 8 6 +19 56
4 Genk 29 15 4 10 +15 49
5 Oostende 30 14 7 9 +9 49
6 Charleroi 29 13 7 9 +10 46
7 Standard 30 13 3 14 -10 42
8 Kortrijk 30 10 9 11 -1 39
9 Mechelen 30 10 7 13 -11 37
10 Waregem 30 10 6 14 -5 36
11 Lokeren 30 9 8 13 -3 35
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 9 14 -12 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 30 8 5 17 -18 29
16 Beveren 30 8 5 17 -24 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. May -16 Charleroi – Genk 2–0

Match report

Genk Charleroi
19′
🔁 P. Mandanda
↦ E. Sağlık
1–0 N. Karelis
20′
2–0 M. Samatta
27′
40′
J. Perbet 2–1
C. Diandy
Half-time 3–1
3–1 S. Walsh
L. Bailey
48′
B. Hamalainen 🔁
↦ J. Uronen
49′
4–1 N. Karelis
56′
65′
🔁 D. Pollet
↦ Javi Martos
5–1 N. Karelis
Pozuelo
71′
76′
🔁 A. Baby
↦ C. Tainmont
N. Kebano 🔁
↦ N. Karelis
79′
B. Kumordzi 🔁
↦ M. Samatta
89′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Genk

1 M. Bizot
27 C. Kabasele
21 J. Uronen
5 S. Walsh
25 O. Ndidi
15 D. Wouters
24 Pozuelo
19 T. Buffel
7 N. Karelis
77 M. Samatta
31 L. Bailey
Bench (7)
4 B. Hamalainen
92 N. Kebano
8 B. Kumordzi
11 I. de Camargo
28 B. Heynen
30 N. Jackers
3 K. Tshimanga

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau
41 F. N'Ganga
8 Javi Martos
22 G. François
3 S. Willems
25 D. Marcq
7 C. Tainmont
13 C. Diandy
28 E. Sağlık
88 D. N'Dongala
21 J. Perbet
Bench (7)
35 P. Mandanda
10 D. Pollet
18 A. Baby
6 G. Zajkov
24 D. Dessoleil
29 S. Ninis
45 R. Ferber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.