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Champions League
Referee: G Nyberg
Shakhtar Donetsk
S
1–1
Full-time
Celtic
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shakhtar Donetsk Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
100%
83%
Points per game
3,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
100%
17%
Average goals
5,0
4,5
Scored
4,0
3,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+3,2
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
5,0
3,0
Scored
4,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
5 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Shakhtar Donetsk Celtic
10′
⚽ A. Bondarenko 1–0
own goal
2–0 M. Mudryk ⚽
H. Sudakov
29′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Maeda
↦ S. Hakšabanović
52′
🟨 Moritz Jenz
I. Petryak 🔁
↦ M. Shved
60′
L. Traoré 🔁
↦ O. Zubkov
61′
68′
🔁 D. Turnbull
↦ R. Hatate
68′
🔁 G. Giakoumakis
↦ K. Furuhashi
68′
🔁 A. Mooy
↦ M. ORiley
N. Đurasek 🔁
↦ A. Bondarenko
74′
O. Ocheretko 🔁
↦ H. Sudakov
78′
86′
🔁 L. Abada
↦ Jota
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
81 A. Trubin G
23 Lucas Taylor D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matvienko D
26 Y. Konoplya D
6 T. Stepanenko M
9 M. Shved M
21 A. Bondarenko M
8 H. Sudakov M
10 M. Mudryk M
11 O. Zubkov F
Bench (12)
34 I. Petryak
2 L. Traoré
17 N. Đurasek
27 O. Ocheretko
16 D. Kryskiv
30 A. Pyatov
14 D. Sikan
32 E. Kozik
1 O. Shevchenko
15 B. Mykhailichenko
20 D. Topalov
4 S. Kryvtsov

Coach: I. Jovičević

Celtic

4-2-3-1
1 J. Hart G
88 J. Juranović D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
6 M. Jenz D
3 G. Taylor D
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
9 S. Hakšabanović M
33 M. O'Riley M
17 Jota M
8 K. Furuhashi F
Bench (12)
38 D. Maeda
14 D. Turnbull
7 G. Giakoumakis
13 A. Mooy
11 L. Abada
57 S. Welsh
29 S. Bain
31 B. Siegrist
28 O. Abildgaard
49 J. Forrest
25 A. Bernabei
56 A. Ralston

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.